TRUMP MENACE L'IRAN ! Le marché pense qu'il bluffe ?

Rumors suggest Donald Trump is considering resuming conflict with Iran, publicly stating the ceasefire is fragile. The market's reaction, and whether Trump is bluffing, is a key focus. Viewers are reminded of free mentorship and VIP access on Discord, available by registering on Premxbt via a partner link. Premxbt is a broker for trading stocks, forex, indices, and commodities with crypto collateral, offering bonuses up to $2000. To gain VIP access, a minimum deposit of $500 is required, followed by entering an email and Premxbt ID. Regarding the oil market, it’s currently reworking the bearish Value Gap. The market doesn't seem to be taking Trump's threats of an imminent conflict seriously yet. Such a conflict would involve breaking the bearish gap and moving beyond the current range. The speaker's bias is upward as long as the discount zone is maintained, suggesting a new push after a liquidity injection. Clearing the south and accumulating relative equals indicate a liquidity grab. The question is whether this will trigger a market break and renewed stress. A short-term signal to watch is the breaking of the bearish Value Gap. If there’s a rejection and bearish recovery without market reaction in the discount zone, a bearish recovery could lead to revisiting April's low. However, the market is currently in an upward flow, potentially putting pressure on highs. The monthly price of oil might see a repeat of April lows or a continuation to visit peaks. Whether Trump can reassure markets will be crucial. If peaks are cleared, observing the VIX index for a rise in market stress is important, as the objective of recovering March's low hasn't been reached. Indices, including the NASDAQ, continue their upward trend. The speaker expects a continuation of the upward trend for the NASDAQ, anticipating work in the Valuap iron zone, which corresponds to the daily valuation. As long as the VIX doesn't rise, small dips and continuation are expected due to strong momentum. The SP500 shows a similar pattern, with Friday's liquidity clearing Thursday's in Valap, establishing a new protected low. The discount zone from this low is interesting for a continuation, especially around the FVGH4 area. The Dow Jones continues its upward journey, having filled the Fervalu Gabap Daily. The cash injection and reaction in the identified zone suggest a continuation, with the speaker holding a swing trade to recover beyond the ATH. The dollar is expected to maintain its current area, with some cleaning up of lowest parts anticipated. Today’s COR CPI data at 8:30 am New York time (2:30 pm CET), with a forecast of 3.7, is extremely important. Above-forecast CPI means inflation was underestimated, potentially causing market stress. Below-forecast CPI means inflation was overestimated, which is generally positive. Currently, there's only a 5% probability of rates falling, but a 20% probability of rates rising. If inflation explodes, leading to a 40-50% probability of rate hikes, a dollar rise and index stress could occur. The American market heavily depends on GPU and AI demand, which continues to grow. Therefore, any market stresses are seen as dips to be bought, as the market is entering an AI euphoria and bubble. The speaker believes institutions are playing this momentum, making dips opportunities even with bad inflation figures. This could involve cleaning the monthly low this week, with the dollar potentially reworking its open gap in May. Gold is entering a contraction phase, with the speaker suggesting entering on daily/weekly lows or highs to capture movements, as it's simply taking POIs in every direction. The speaker concludes by asking viewers to like, subscribe, and comment.