Crypto Le Trone

IRAN : TRUMP PERD PATIENCE ! ATTENTION au DOLLAR..

Donald Trump is reportedly growing impatient with Iran, urging China to exert pressure on Tehran to abandon its nuclear program. Trump has indicated a willingness to resume significant military operations against Iran if China fails to achieve this. For now, oil prices are not reflecting an end to the conflict, and the speaker believes a bearish resolution for oil would involve breaking below its current range. Instead, oil is showing signs of liquidity grab at the lower end of its range, followed by an impulse move back into a discount zone with bullish price action. The resolution of a fair value gap and the filling of another recent fair value gap, coupled with a green candle close after taking out previous lows, suggest a potential revisit of $100 per barrel. The speaker anticipates a revisit of recent highs, and a breakout above the upper range could signify a renewed conflict. The market appears to be pricing in either the continuation or resumption of the conflict. As long as the range remains unbroken, market stress is unlikely. However, a northern breakout of the range due to renewed conflict could put further pressure on bonds. If bond yields rise too high, the Federal Reserve might be compelled to raise interest rates. The market is already anticipating potential rate hikes, with probabilities increasing for 2026 and 2027, suggesting expectations of persistent inflation. A renewed conflict and a northern range breakout could force the Fed to raise rates to combat inflation.