
ALERTE ! BITCOIN MONTE DANS LA PEUR ! 🚨 (ça va exploser ?)
Audio Summary
AI Summary
The speaker begins by noting the explosion of indices, Bitcoin’s gap-filling, and Ethereum’s slight retreat. They emphasize that access to their code, strategies, VIP crypto, and mentorship is available through a partner link on Wix. Users need to register, be active in spot or futures, and then fill out a form to gain access to Discord and exclusive reports on institutional market movements and derived strategies.
Regarding Bitcoin (BTC), the speaker observes it’s currently filling a gap on the CME, having already filled previous daily gaps. While a consolidation is possible, the remaining gap extends to $85,300, a target for the second trimester. The dynamic remains bullish, correlated with American indices like the Nasdaq, Dow Jones, and S&P 500. Bitcoin is generally following this trend, though it shows slight divergence from the Nasdaq. The speaker's indicator, green for bullish and red for bearish, currently shows a red signal for Bitcoin, suggesting a potential slowdown rather than a crash.
A potential pullback for Bitcoin could see it test $79,700, or even deeper to $78,000-$76,600 to clear leverage and stop-losses. These levels are considered interesting zones for long swings, aiming to push the price higher towards next objectives.
The demand for Bitcoin is primarily from the spot market. CVD spot indicators show strong investor presence, and while CVD perp also increases, negative funding rates suggest intense spot pressure rather than a dominant short position. This healthy movement, despite some leveraged positions, could lead to "express cleanings" to flush out leverage before further price increases. The speaker highlights strong ETF inflows, with over $1.5 billion in the last three days, underscoring significant demand for Bitcoin. This spot-driven demand is considered healthy, without excessive reliance on derivative products.
The divergence from the Nasdaq, however, could signal a potential Bitcoin pullback. On the PERP market, all value gaps have been addressed. A daily close above current levels would suggest a push towards $84,600 and the CME gap. Even with a red close and pullback to previous fair value gaps, the overall bullish sentiment for the trimester suggests dips are buying opportunities, especially as American indices are also in a strong quarter.
Altcoins are slowly breaking consolidation structures, which is encouraging for retracements. Low volatility indicates a slow, steady upward movement, not changing the generally bearish sentiment among retail traders, which the speaker sees as a positive sign for further upside. During recent dips, open interest dropped significantly, showing quick panic and position closures, indicating a "frileux" (cautious) market sentiment.
From a fundamental perspective, current Bitcoin prices are considered attractive for investors, especially given the medium production price. As long as the hash rate doesn't fall, prices between $48,000 and $80,000 are seen as correct. A potential future concern is AI absorbing data center demand currently used for Bitcoin mining, which could impact the hash rate. However, for now, the fundamental value remains strong. The speaker projects that by the next halving in 2028, Bitcoin's fundamental value could range between $94,000 and $160,000. Buying at $80,000 today could potentially lead to selling at the 2025 ATH.
Technically, previous bear market bottoms formed in storage zones, which this time would be between $39,000 and $57,000. While not guaranteed, investors should hold cash for these zones as they would represent excellent buying opportunities, both technically and fundamentally.
The speaker remains bullish on indices, expecting them to continue rising as long as the Dow Jones hasn't made a new all-time high. The dollar is expected to remain in a low-flow state into April, facilitating risk-taking. The VIX index is also increasing, indicating reduced stress regarding geopolitical tensions.
Ethereum is slowly but surely heading towards its peaks, though it underperforms Bitcoin in this bearish quarter. ETF inflows for Ethereum are much weaker compared to Bitcoin, not enough to cause an explosion. The speaker expects Ethereum to quickly reach its April summit above $2,480 on CME and fill the gap around $2,730 by June. A potential dip on Ethereum would target the open gap around $2,292-$2,278, which would be an interesting zone for a continuation.