PÉTROLE HAUSSIER : GROS DANGER pour les MARCHÉS ! 🚨

The price of oil is approaching its March highs, indicating an extension and a return to the upper range. The analysis will cover the potential impact on indices, the VIX, Eurodollar, and Gold. Access to the Discord VIP and mentorship is available for free by signing up on Primexbt via a partner link and depositing a minimum of $500. This capital remains the user's funds. After registration and deposit, access can be activated by providing an email and Primexbt ID. A Discord link will then be provided, granting VIP access and mentorship via email. Primexbt is a broker allowing trading of Forex, indices, commodities, and stocks with crypto collateral. Regarding oil, the range scenario is confirmed. The market is increasingly pricing in the possibility of the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed for several more weeks and an intensification of the conflict, which directly impacts oil prices. A breaker has likely formed, signaling a delivery to the March peak. If oil reaches new highs, Trump might attempt to de-escalate the situation. A break north of this range could cause the VIX to rise, stressing indices and potentially triggering a DIP. As long as the range isn't broken, there’s no market impact, and the VIX isn't currently rising. The last fair value gap has been filled. This area could act as a rebound zone. If prices resume an upward trend, a retracement of the previous movement is likely, leading to a DIP in American indices if the VIX consolidates, manipulates, and expands towards 22-23 points. The Dow Jones is already in a DIP phase, while the Nasdaq took stops. An alert will be set above the March peak for oil, at $115, to observe if it leads to a continuation breaker. The annual fair value gap is still being worked, and monthly fair value gaps are also high. If a new breakout occurs, continuation targets around $173, above the consolidation buy-side zone, are possible, though not yet reached. Such targets would have a significant market impact. The Nasdaq reached a new All-Time High (ATH) yesterday due to earnings, but is being rejected this morning. This isn't concerning as long as the fair value gap is maintained. Losing the fair value gap would signal a clear retracement, likely towards last week's low or the weekly fair value gap. The current liquidity grab is causing displacement, and a potential cleanup to retrieve relative equal lows might occur. If the current candle closes red and the fair value gap breaks, a cleanup to the previous low is expected. The SP500 also reclaimed liquidity from Wednesday's peak. If its current candle closes red, a signal to retrace towards the weekly low and the weekly fair value gap could emerge. These are monitored zones for potential continuation. A deep DIP could see prices filling all previous fair value gaps. If market stress, such as oil breaking its range or the VIX rising, occurs, it could rework the first stop and fill the entire weekly fair value gap. For the Dow Jones, a swing long entry will be considered upon the formation of a breaker, targeting the delivery of all daily highs. The weekly fair value gap is seen as a reversal zone. If it’s reworked, along with the weekly fair value gap, it would be a good DIP zone to play for an ATH delivery. The dollar continues to retrace and rework, likely heading to fill the gap after reclaiming March lows and the weekly fair value gap. These are considered rebound zones. As long as there's less than a 50% chance of rate hikes this year, the dollar is unlikely to move beyond its current peak, instead focusing on the gap and fair value gap zones for a potential reversal. Higher oil prices could increase the probability of rate hikes, impacting the dollar more significantly. The Eurodollar saw a rejection at its March peak and is working on the weekly fair value gap, with a clear price zone to rework, likely the impulse zone and fair value gap. Further retracement on the Eurodollar is possible. Gold was rejected by its weekly fair value gap and reclaimed the weekly low, but without significant reaction. The next breaker could signal a reversal, leading to the reclaiming of previous buy-side liquidity, particularly the previous daily high and daily fair value gap. If the daily fair value gap is breached, the dollar might continue to address its own fair value gaps. Currently, gold is in a bearish daily trend and might be entering a contraction phase with reduced volatility. Short positions are favored in the intra-day, especially if a clear rejection and model within the daily fair value gap occur, indicating further downside towards 4444. Today's economic calendar includes GDP figures and core PCE, which are important data points to observe.