
IRAN : USA ÇA CHAUFFE !! IMPACT pour les MARCHÉS ? 🚨
Audio Summary
AI Summary
Despite renewed tensions between the US and Iran, markets are continuing to rise, showing no signs of stress. The VIX remains low, indicating a lack of fear. The NASDAQ, in particular, is exhibiting bullish momentum. The key levels to watch this week are the previous weekly low around 26990-27000 points and the daily fair value gap. These are potential areas for consolidation or continuation of the upward trend. The overall sentiment remains bullish, with many traders taking short positions that are being invalidated by the strong upward flow. Should geopolitical risks intensify, leading to market stress, the next levels to observe would be the stops of the last order block below the previous weekly low.
The speaker is personally exposed to the Dow Jones, anticipating further continuation and new all-time highs. They are looking to add to their long position in the discount zone of the current impulse. The S&P 500 mirrors the NASDAQ's bullish trend, though slightly less pronounced. The focus remains on the daily fair value gap and the previous weekly low as key price levels. The strategy is to buy dips, especially as the Dow Jones has yet to reach new all-time highs and the current quarter shows a strong bullish trend.
Regarding the dollar, there's no immediate delivery on the April low. The index is testing weekly fair value gaps and daily breaker zones. While a potential rate hike increase could theoretically support the dollar, its current upward momentum is not significant. A bearish fair value gap has formed on the daily chart, and the market may enter a ranging phase. A break of the weekly fair value gap would signal a bearish continuation for the dollar.
The oil market is currently within a range, with pressure on the upper boundary. A break and acceptance above this range would be a significant development. For now, oil remains in consolidation, though the immediate flow is bullish. A break of the oil range could trigger market stress and potentially lead to a repricing of rate hike expectations, impacting US indices.
Gold, conversely, is in a bearish trend, being rejected at the daily fair value gap. The speaker believes gold will struggle to rise as long as the dollar remains strong. The rejection at the daily fair value gap suggests further downside potential, with targets around 444. The bias for gold remains bearish, awaiting a clear reversal signal. While some intraday or swing trading opportunities for shorts may have existed, the overall trend is downward.