Voilà à quoi ressemble un portefeuille bien équilibré ! - Audit de Portefeuille #3 📈

Welcome to a new portfolio audit video from Journal du Coin, a format launched with Steady Lads. We analyze submissions from Steady Lads members seeking advice on their portfolios, trading, and investment plans in crypto. Currently, priority is given to Steady Lads members, but we may open it to the public later. The link to join Steady Lads is in the description. Today's focus is on "The AVG's" submission, detailing his portfolio composition, long-term investment plan, and future outlook. He identifies as an active trader with a technical and fundamental approach, utilizing macro and data analysis. His risk tolerance is aggressive, which is interesting for wealth development, as higher returns usually come with higher risk. He currently has 10-25% of his assets exposed to crypto and rates his portfolio confidence at 8/10. I find his portfolio quite good, with only minor points for improvement, making it one of the best defined plans reviewed so far. The AVG currently holds three declared positions: Cash, Bitcoin, and Solana. His significant cash position is favorable given the current bear market. Bitcoin accounts for 30% of his portfolio, held through IBIT (a spot Bitcoin ETF) and long-term call options on MicroStrategy (now Strategy), specifically "lips" expiring in December 2028. His average Bitcoin purchase price is $45,000, indicating a long-term strategy for this portion. The third position is 13% in liquid Solana, with an average purchase price of $80. His strategy here is "buy and hold," suggesting a strong fundamental belief in Solana. The auditor wonders why Ethereum isn't included and invites The AVG to comment. The AVG also has a clear market thesis: a confirmed bear market with a bear flag, stablecoin dominance above 9%, a degraded macroeconomy, and a defensive stance. This adherence to a well-defined plan is commendable. His Bitcoin re-entry plan includes staggered purchases: 20% at $62,000, 50% between $49,000 and $50,000, and 30% at $35,000. Regarding his $45,000 Bitcoin entry, it's a good price. Even in a strong bear market, a -80% to -85% drop would put Bitcoin between $20,000 and $25,000, meaning a further -45% from his average. However, decreasing upward volatility might imply decreased downward volatility, making bear markets less severe. For Solana, his $80 purchase price is near current levels. The auditor sees this as a good long-term entry point, as Solana is consolidating cleanly on a support level. A break below $75 would invalidate this consolidation and signal a renewed bearish trend, suggesting an exit. The auditor also addresses The AVG’s question about re-entering alts like TAO, NEAR, and LINK after mean reversion. He advises against rushing into alts, as they have been in a bear market since 2021. Waiting for confirmed reversal setups is better than trying to catch falling knives. LINK and NEAR show strong bearish trends, making positioning difficult. TAO, however, appears more promising with a large consolidation, but it might still be too early to position. A key missing element in The AVG's plan is a strategy for a market recovery. While he has plans for a downturn, he needs to consider what to do if the market bottoms out and begins an upward trend. This is as crucial as having plans for a decline. The portfolio is well-established. The auditor advises against rushing into alts, emphasizing the need for solid reversal confirmations. He reiterates the importance of planning for market recovery.