
URGENT BITCOIN ! -600 MILLIONS SUR LES ETFs en 24h !! ๐จ
Audio Summary
AI Summary
Bitcoin continues its divergence from the Nasdaq, heading towards the next fair value gap, a zone previously identified. The speaker also discusses yesterday's poor PPI figures. Access to mentorship reports, VIP, and algo tools are available for free by signing up via their partner platform, Wix, and being active in spot or futures trading. A tutorial and registration process are provided, linking your Wix account to Discord to unlock VIP crypto channels, market reviews, and strategy reports. The next report will be published tomorrow, detailing insights on the dollar, indices, Bitcoin, and gold, including anomalies on other assets.
Regarding Bitcoin (BTC), the only interesting zone for a swing long, in terms of risk-reward, remains the daily fair value gap. The idea is to clear out all accumulated stops below recent lows to reach this identified fair value zone. This would involve hunting the weekly low from May 2-4 and entering the fair value gap zone, as no weekly lows were hunted during the recent ascent. The overall idea is to anticipate continuation, potentially filling the gap, which extends up to $85,000 daily. This remains an objective as long as the daily dynamic stays bullish. However, if the current trough breaks, it would form a breaker, completely reversing the dynamic and confirming a new bearish leg.
For investors, the speaker does not believe the definitive bottom has been reached. While a retracement is expected, the current market demand for crypto is too low for it to be a definitive bottom. Though a massive bearish continuation isn't predicted, a revisit near current lows and clearing of the lowest point is likely due to insufficient demand. Consolidation over the coming months is more probable than a "return to the moon," with potential moves to $85,000 followed by further retracement. More attractive zones are anticipated.
The Bitcoin hash rate has seen a slight decline, not extraordinary, but it's currently stagnant. The hash rate has been consolidating since September 2025 because AI demand makes running AI more profitable than Bitcoin mining for data centers. Companies are becoming hybrid, redirecting resources from Bitcoin mining to AI, then potentially buying BTC with profits or waiting for better prices. This trend reduces Bitcoin's hash rate and its fundamental value.
Technically, as long as the current daily low is maintained, the bullish dynamic persists. A break below $74,800 would confirm a bearish dynamic, potentially leading to $64,000 and then $58,000. However, this is not the current situation. Bitcoin could still hunt stops at the last trough, as seen previously, before a future move. Demand has significantly calmed, with $600 million in outflows from ETFs yesterday, indicating a resurgence of sellers. This retracement is consistent with the divergence from US indices, where Nasdaq reached a new all-time high while Bitcoin only saw a slight rebound. Bitcoin is likely heading to the daily fair value gap zone (around $77,900-$76,600) due to its continued weakness and divergence from Nasdaq's performance.
Yesterday's catastrophic news regarding producer price index (PPI) figures, with core PPI at 1% against a 0.3% forecast and production prices three times the forecast, indicates inflation will likely rise more than anticipated. This has an immediate impact on interest rates, with probabilities of rate hikes in 2027 remaining stable at 60%. The market anticipates rising inflation in the coming months, which should impact the dollar (which had a bullish day yesterday) and oil (breaking its bearish fair value gap, a potential bullish signal).
Despite bad news, US indices remain unaffected due to strong AI demand. The market expects increasing earnings from US companies, driving indices higher in a bullish momentum. The market disregards bad news, believing that even if the Fed raises rates, strong demand will ensure companies generate significant revenue, pushing prices up. This market psychology explains why dips are immediately bought, leading to higher prices for US indices. This is encouraging for US indices until the dynamic reverses and correlates with macro realities.
Ethereum is expected to retest its weekly low around $2,218. This bearish dynamic could be a re-accumulation phase before continuing to fill previous gaps, potentially retesting the February summit. For investors, the speaker believes this is not the definitive bottom for Ethereum, anticipating a revisit of lows, possibly around $1,905. Patient investors might find more attractive prices in future quarters. Currently, it could be a re-accumulation structure, clearing lows to push higher, possibly later this quarter. Asset managers are increasing their long positions on Ethereum, speculating medium to long term, which could lead to higher prices in the coming weeks.
The crypto market remains divergent with low inflows and stablecoin printing slowing since early May, now showing outflows. This dip is logical