My Top Stock Picks for 2026

The presenter reviews the 2026 top stock picks, assessing their performance to date and for the first quarter. The list, averaged, shows a 24.5% year-to-date gain, which the presenter deems not good enough, especially when compared to the NASDAQ's likely performance, which is estimated to be around 15% year-to-date. The presenter emphasizes the need to outperform and explores strategies to achieve this, including analyzing first-quarter performers and considering the potential of "dialed-in" strategies for specific assets rather than universal settings. A significant portion of the discussion revolves around macroeconomic factors and their potential impact on the markets, particularly Bitcoin. The nomination of Kevin Walsh as the new Fed Chair is a focal point. Walsh's stated preference for balance sheet reduction and quantitative tightening (QT) is contrasted with the current reality of the Fed's balance sheet expansion. The presenter questions whether Walsh will be able to implement his preferred policies without causing market disruption, drawing parallels to past situations where economic realities forced policy deviations. The current environment is described as a potential "melt-up" and the "greatest bubble of our lifetime," with the expectation that it will likely end badly. The presenter stresses the importance of timing and diligent market analysis. The discussion then shifts to specific market movements. Bitcoin is noted as lagging behind tech stocks, a pattern observed in previous Fed playbook stages. The presenter analyzes charts, identifying a potential "sell impulse" on Bitcoin and a verge of a breakdown, suggesting downside action. The presenter also examines the correlation between yields and oil prices, with oil trading near a breakout point. A breakout in the 10-year yield is flagged as potentially "bad news bears." Geopolitical developments are also touched upon, specifically the meeting between Trump and Xi, and its potential implications for the Strait of Hormuz oil supply. The presenter notes a rare instance of agreement between the US and China regarding passage through the strait and observes a Chinese ship passing through as a token of goodwill. The possibility of a beneficial agreement arising from the summit is raised. The presenter then delves deeper into the performance of their 2026 stock picks. While the average year-to-date performance is 24.5%, the presenter highlights individual stock performances like Irene (150%), Rocket Labs (break-even), Space Mobile (ASTS, down on the year), EOS (up 9% today, down on the year), and NVIDIA (cooking). The presenter also reviews their own portfolio, noting NVIDIA at 25% profit, Strategy at 25%, Tesla at 15%, Bitcoin spot ETFs at break-even, FNGU at 22%, and TQQQ at break-even. Ethereum is mentioned as holding a short trade, and Solana is leading with an open trade of 6.5%, while Bitcoin is down 1.6%. A new addition to the presenter's portfolio, BLOX, is discussed in detail. BLOX is an options strategy that aims to capture a portion of Bitcoin's moves. Despite Bitcoin's drawdown, BLOX has outperformed IBIT (an ETF tracking Bitcoin) year-to-date, showing a 20% outperformance. The presenter expresses optimism about BLOX's potential, especially if Bitcoin reaches significantly higher price targets, due to its ability to capture yield. However, the presenter also emphasizes the need for continuous monitoring of BLOX for any signs of breakdown, noting that its performance is closely tied to Bitcoin and the broader market. The presenter also introduces the "Bitcoin bull runs" strategy, acknowledging its low win percentage (under 20%) but high risk-to-reward ratio, and suggests its potential application for assets like BLOX to navigate drawdowns. The presenter discusses the "danger" of relying solely on past performance by examining the portfolio's performance from January to the end of March 2026. During this period, almost all assets, including NVIDIA, were at a loss, highlighting the volatility and risk associated with market downturns. This underscores the importance of having a robust strategy beyond just identifying top performers. The presenter expresses a desire to further refine the approach by "dialing in" strategies for specific assets within the top performer list, aiming for better-than-average returns. The idea is to create models for these dialed-in performances, potentially incorporating them into the portfolio. The presenter also mentions ongoing work on other strategies, such as BSouth's "bulls high alpha strategy," which is presented as superior to FNGU, and a strategy for individual components of an ETN. The presenter concludes by reiterating the importance of reviewing the 2026 top picks and modeling their performance. The upcoming release of "V4" is mentioned, which already has modeled strategies. The presenter believes that attacking the market with solid strategies, like the MSTR strategy, is crucial. The presenter also hints at significant developments happening behind the scenes, requiring discretion. The session ends with a call to action for new viewers to subscribe and join the community.