IRAN - USA : ÇA DEVIENT DANGEREUX À NOUVEAU pour les MARCHÉS ?

The speaker discusses trading strategies and market outlooks, particularly focusing on Forex, commodities, and cryptocurrencies. They recommend a broker that allows trading in crypto and offers VIP access which includes mentorship. Regarding the Nasdaq, the prevailing trend is upwards, with the target being the March summit. However, a significant price reversal could alter this outlook. Key economic data releases, including the Core PCE and PIB today, and CPI tomorrow, are highlighted as potential catalysts for a reversal or retracement if they exceed estimations. The speaker advises against premature positioning before these announcements, suggesting instead to wait for a clear "big POI" (Point of Interest) and potential liquidation that signals a reversal. For example, if a bullish trend is observed, waiting for a clean sweep of the lows in UTC New York time, especially a few hours before the PCE, could be a viable entry strategy, anticipating positive PCE data. Risk management is emphasized as crucial in these decisions. The current Nasdaq flow shows no strong bearish dynamic. While there's rejection at the weekly price level and an order block with a repricing of a fair value gap (FVG), there isn't a significant bearish flux. The possibility of a retest of the FVG zone and previous day lows for a continuation towards the March summit is mentioned as plausible, though not guaranteed. The speaker doesn't foresee a bearish scenario currently but also cautions against entering with high leverage, suggesting waiting for an FVG to form and be retested for a continuation. The speaker touches upon geopolitical events involving the US and Iran, noting that a breakdown in ceasefire talks could impact markets and potentially increase oil prices. Rumors of a partial closure or limited boat traffic in Detroit are also mentioned as having market implications. The speaker believes markets dictate these movements, and currently, there's no clear bearish low dynamic, although it doesn't rule out a market top forming. Without strong reversal signals, the March summit remains a potential target. For the S&P 500, the situation is similar, with the price nearing a summit. A minor market structure shift, a small FVG, and a descending summit are observed, but not enough to confirm a significant top. The speaker reiterates that it's too late to call a top and anticipates a bullish continuation, potentially after taking out lows, with the March summit as the target. Daily analysis shows stops being taken out at an order block, which is currently acting as resistance and could become a breaker if overcome. Geopolitical changes, particularly between the US and Iran, could complicate this outlook. Turning to oil, the speaker notes the market is working the daily FVG, and there's no definitive sell signal yet. The current zone is a recharge zone and could be a buy-the-dip opportunity for those speculating on conflict escalation. However, there's also a possibility of an order block that could prevent further upward movement. The speaker believes that technically, there's an interesting signal, similar to what was seen on the dollar, suggesting a potential move lower towards a breaker. A lower low in March is also a possibility, influenced by economic data. If economic data like Core PCE and CPI significantly exceed expectations, it could lead to a pause in interest rate hikes, potentially until July 2027 or even December if the data is catastrophic. This would favor the dollar. However, geopolitical escalation, leading to higher oil prices and inflation, could force the Fed to consider rate increases, unlike the current scenario which doesn't mirror the high inflation of the early 1980s. The EURUSD is described as relatively stagnant, trading within an FVG zone. Gold is respecting the last FVG, with stops being taken but no continuation. A rejection at the weekly summit within an FVG suggests this zone will be a key area of focus. If this impulse zone isn't sustained, the speaker anticipates a move to lower lows, possibly visiting the week's lowest price next week. The speaker emphasizes observing the last FVG and how it resolves. Finally, the speaker encourages viewers to subscribe, comment, and check out their partner Wix for crypto trading, with VIP access details available in the comments.