Urgent BITCOIN : Trump va parler (Ces cryptos vont Exploser)

This video discusses Bitcoin, Ethereum, other major cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, and related stocks, highlighting interesting observations and potential movements. First, the speaker notes that Trump continues to navigate political challenges. The speaker's interest is piqued by Trump's recent comments on cannabis, suggesting that with the midterms approaching and Iran's situation, Trump might seek to improve his public image with the general consumer and voter. Cryptocurrencies could be part of potential announcements that could act as a catalyst. Graphically, there are no significant changes for Bitcoin. The current rebound is characterized by a stair-step pattern: hitting a resistance, selling off, and then finding support at the previous resistance level. As long as this pattern continues, it remains a positive rebound, but it's not yet considered a true reversal. A genuine reversal, according to the speaker, would require Bitcoin to surpass the $90,000 to $95,000 range. For now, the stair-step scenario is expected to continue, potentially leading to a congestion phase in the $70,000 to $85,000 range. This $15,000 congestion zone could either lead to a positive scenario where Bitcoin aims for $100,000, potentially forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern, which would signal a more durable reversal and a return to a bull run. Alternatively, it could signify a mere technical rebound within an ongoing bearish trend. In this negative scenario, hitting resistance at $80,000 to $85,000 could trigger a new downturn, especially if it breaks below $75,000 and then $70,000, potentially retesting the $60,000 level. Currently, the favored scenario is the stair-step ascent, leading to the congestion phase anticipated for May-June. This period will be crucial for determining whether a true reversal is confirmed, targeting higher objectives, or if the bearish trend resumes. Within this congestion range, the market is gradually regaining strength and confidence, but its long-term trend still needs further proof. The speaker's analysis for Bitcoin suggests that as long as it stays above $70,000, dips should be bought to play the next step up. If it breaks below $70,000, caution would be warranted. The speaker views Trump's potential need to appeal to the base consumer as a positive factor for the crypto world, as even mere speeches could restore some confidence. Ethereum is expected to follow a similar pattern, remaining in a healthy congestion zone above its old oblique resistance. As long as it stays above this level, or even if it dips to $2,200, the outlook remains positive for stair-step movements. However, a long-term reversal won't be confirmed until it surpasses the significant $2,800 mark, which is a potential profit-taking target. The speaker anticipates a congestion period for Ethereum in May-June, which, if it holds, could lead to an accumulation phase. A break above $2,800 could then trigger a "champagne cork" effect, indicating a strong upward move. Conversely, a drop below $2,200, and especially below $2,100, would suggest a slow, agonizing decline, potentially sending it back to $1,000 if it falls below $2,000. For now, the focus remains on the positive congestion scenario. XRP presents a similar situation with stabilization and the formation of congestion figures. The current zones are seen as buying opportunities due to favorable risk-reward ratios and quick invalidation points. A drop below $1.30 would be a signal to exit, as it risks a return to $1.15 or even $1.00, resuming the bearish trend. Cryptocurrencies generally remain in short-term bearish trends within these congestion phases. For a medium-term reversal, these congestions must break upwards. For traders, current entry points are attractive due to short invalidation distances and a potential for 3-4 times greater gains. The initial target is to retest $1.57, and if successful, a second target of $1.80. The speaker advises taking profits at these levels, as a straight-line ascent is unlikely. Subsequent consolidation would then use the old oblique resistance as support, accumulation, or a new buying point. A break above $1.80 could lead to a "champagne cork" effect, but even then, a bull run shouldn't be anticipated immediately. Targets would then be $2.00 and $2.20. Only a sustained move above $2.20 would confirm a more durable reversal, signaling the end of the crypto winter. Smaller cryptocurrencies, such as Solana, show a similar flat stabilization. A downward break would likely lead to a "last shakeout," potentially pushing Solana to $60. For now, buyers are given the benefit of the doubt, but a decision is needed soon regarding the ability to sustain further technical rebounds, targeting $97, $100, $103, $105, and potentially up to $120. However, until it surpasses $120, the strategy is to take profits incrementally, anticipating that resistances will lead to selling pressure and a return to a congestion/accumulation phase before a potential "champagne cork" effect. The speaker stresses that these are technical rebounds within ongoing bearish trends, not yet full trend reversals. A resurgence of bearish trends after these technical rebounds is possible. For AAVE, the goal is to break above $110 to target profit-taking at $130, $135, and potentially $150. The positive, gradual scenario involves a push, consolidation during spring, and then in summer, renewed confidence leading to a break of intermediate resistance levels, suggesting a medium-term reversal. A downward break would require exiting positions. The current advantage is the ability to attempt the positive scenario due to favorable risk-reward ratios and short invalidations, meaning a quick decision point. However, discipline is crucial for cutting losses if the trade goes wrong. Alternatively, one can wait for a lower-risk strategy with more certainty, even if it means entering at a slightly higher price. Riot Platforms, a stock linked to crypto, shows a different chart due to its AI connection. Any consolidation is seen as a buying opportunity, as a break of the oblique resistance could lead to a speculative surge. Other speculative crypto-related stocks, like Sharpink, also show congestion. A downward break would mean waiting, but a break above $8.00 could lead to good speculative plays, potentially reaching $10.00 to $10.50. Bitmain Immersion, a company heavily invested in Ethereum, presents similar dynamics. While there are good risk-reward ratios for buying, the speaker emphasizes a trading mentality: taking profits at objectives rather than holding for a durable trend reversal. The goal is to reach the top of the current pattern. These movements are considered intermediate within a bearish trend. The first rebound is crucial for attracting interest and confidence, leading to accumulation in congestion. Only when the "cork pops" will there be significant upward movements. Trump's potential comments could reignite interest in the crypto market. If a downward break occurs, it's not a reason to abandon the sector but to wait for a more opportune moment, as movements are expected in 2026. A break above $25 could be a strong initial impulse. For Strategy, the price has nearly reached the $190 target, currently consolidating flat. This is a positive zone for buying, aiming for congestion and then a break to reach $200, then $220-$240, where profits should be taken. Again, a straight-line ascent is not expected, and the possibility of a downward break remains, as these are intermediate movements within a bearish trend. The strategy is to play these as intermediate movements until proven otherwise, requiring consolidation and holding support levels to build congestion. Back, another small actor, shows good congestion, with the $8.00 zone being interesting. The target is $11.00 for initial profit-taking. If it breaks down, the idea is to keep it on the radar for later. Even in a short-term negative scenario, the speaker believes the movement will return in 2026. For French stocks, the configuration is similar. To break free, the price needs to surpass $0.72, which could send it to $0.85-$0.90, where some traders might take partial profits, anticipating summer congestion and eventual reversals. The remaining position could target beyond €1.00, specifically the €1.10 zone, for further profit-taking before a more structured congestion phase. A sustained upward break from this congestion would then allow for holding lines and aiming for more ambitious targets, like €1.60 to €2.00. Like the American stocks, these are intermediate movements that could eventually lead to more durable reversals. However, for now, a step-by-step approach is needed, playing the initial break with defined objectives. If it fails, a break below $0.65 would be a signal to step aside and wait. The speaker concludes by thanking viewers and inviting comments on other interesting crypto-related assets. The approach emphasizes cold, objective analysis, managing position size, risk, and invalidations, rather than predicting the market. The goal is to identify situations where probabilities favor a rebound in crypto-related assets.