Bitcoin: Tout le monde parle de Trump, personne regarde ÇA

In this video, the speaker provides a comprehensive update on the current state of the financial markets, focusing on the intersection of geopolitics, oil, and Bitcoin. He begins by addressing a significant news story that he feels is being overlooked: the situation in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran recently blocked this critical maritime passage, creating a high-risk environment for shipping. However, a temporary reopening was recently announced, which caused oil prices to crash. This followed a massive 58% pump in oil prices just days prior, which was then met with a correction of over 30%. The speaker highlights a compelling inverse correlation between oil and Bitcoin. He notes that as oil reached its recent peak, Bitcoin hit a local low. Now that the geopolitical tension regarding the Strait of Hormuz is stabilizing slightly and oil prices are dropping, Bitcoin is beginning to pump. Interestingly, the speaker questions whether Bitcoin is truly behaving as a "safe haven" asset in this scenario, suggesting he is skeptical of that classification. The speaker briefly pivots to a personal theory regarding the nature of oil. He identifies as a "conspiracy theorist" on this topic, suggesting that oil is not a finite resource derived from ancient biological matter like dinosaurs. Instead, he believes it is a nearly unlimited resource produced by the Earth, similar to water or stone. He supports this by mentioning that media outlets predicted oil shortages decades ago that never came to pass, though he admits this is a separate topic from trading. Moving into technical analysis using his "Underground Trading" tools, the speaker examines the relationship between price action and Open Interest (OI). Currently, he observes that the price pump and OI are relatively synchronized. The price is slightly leading the OI, which he considers an indirectly positive sign. He identifies a "conflict zone" where short sellers were previously dominant. Bitcoin is currently breaking above this zone; if the market "accepts" this higher price level, he believes it could easily reach previous highs. A significant portion of the analysis focuses on the "Value Area." The speaker explains that 70% of Bitcoin’s recent volume has been exchanged within a specific range. Currently, Bitcoin is attempting to leave the "Value Area High." For a bullish trend to be confirmed, the price needs to consolidate or "range" above this level rather than just spiking and immediately falling back into the old range. He warns that previous spikes were purely speculative "FOMO" moves that lacked price acceptance. Using the Kyotaka tool to look at order books, the speaker notes that buy walls around the $64,284 level successfully held the price during a recent downward squeeze. He shares a paradoxical observation specific to crypto: while theory suggests that large orders attract the price, he has noticed that major orders often "repel" the price because they frequently fail to get filled. Regarding Ethereum, the speaker notes a similar price pattern to Bitcoin but with much stronger selling pressure. He points out a specific area where a large number of "long" positions are currently trapped. As the price returns to these levels, these traders will likely look to exit at break-even, which could create significant resistance and potential shorting opportunities in the near to medium term. Looking at the upcoming economic calendar, the speaker identifies the February inflation data (CPI) as the most important event of the week. He also mentions that crude oil inventory reports will be relevant due to the ongoing Middle East conflict. He concludes by offering his custom indicators to his affiliates and announcing a $50 giveaway for viewers who can correctly predict the best-performing coin in the top 100 for the following day.