Ce pattern LONG TERME pourrait propulser ETH vers les 20 000$ ! - Analyse crypto 📈

Welcome to this new edition of the weekly crypto asset market analysis. Last week's video started with a Wolf Wave pattern directly on the Bitcoin market, visible in both 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes. This will be discussed further later in the video, as it was a very interesting development, especially since it was only shared with Steady Lads members in the second part of a previous live session. This analysis will explain what happened in the market last week, starting with Total ES, which represents the Total Market Cap minus stablecoins. Currently, Total ES remains below resistance. This indicates that there's no need for FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) right now. If consolidation occurs, then plans can be established, and positions might be entered. However, at present, the market is just below a resistance level. Zooming in, the resistance at 2.24-2.25 was tested, with the price reaching the exact line on the wick yesterday before being pushed back down. The resistance successfully played its role. Despite this, the price shows an inclination to retest this zone multiple times. On a daily timeframe, an ascending triangle pattern is forming, which is a bullish figure. A breakout above this resistance would logically lead to a trend reversal and a resumption of the bullish market. For several weeks, specifically two good months, the market has been consolidating below this resistance. There isn't much more to say when zooming in; the movement is somewhat erratic, with a false breakout that re-integrated lower. The price bounced off the bottom and made a new high. The RSI shows no divergence, nor is it significantly higher than the previous top. Therefore, Total ES is currently in a range-bound period rather than exhibiting strong impulsive or directional movement. Next, we'll look at altcoins relative to Bitcoin, specifically Total 3 ESBTC. There was a significant consolidation since after summer, with the market converging and volatility decreasing. Lower lows were consistently made, as were lower highs, defining a bearish trend. However, volatility is contracting, and such patterns often signal a trend reversal, potentially leading to a bullish recovery for altcoins once new highs are broken, ending the series of lower lows and lower highs. Unfortunately, altcoins relative to BTC have been declining in recent days, with increased volatility and directionality, and less consolidation. The previous upward trend line for the lowest points has been broken downwards, indicating a strong bearish trend for altcoins. The important area to watch will be the retest of a support zone around 0.27. There could be a bounce in this area, which is still about 5% away for Total 3 ES BTC. Bitcoin might continue to consolidate and rise above $74,000-$75,000, causing altcoin-versus-BTC pairs to fall further before reaching this potential rebound zone. This period will require close attention to altcoins, as it might present excellent opportunities for those that have significantly declined during their bearish market. Examining Total 3 minus USDC-USDT (altcoins relative to USD), we see a retest of the bearish flag. This is a purely technical retest. There's no clear bullish or bearish trend for altcoins currently; they've been mostly flat since mid-March, even as Bitcoin rises. This creates a near-balance: Bitcoin rising against USD increases altcoin value, while altcoins falling against Bitcoin counteracts this, resulting in altcoins remaining flat against USD. For now, it's not the time to focus on altcoins. Instead, alerts can be set for the potential bottom zone to identify opportunities for positioning and to find altcoins that have consolidated or resisted the bearish market best. Moving on to Ethereum, which the speaker personally classifies separately from other altcoins, we'll zoom out to Ethereum since 2016, focusing on developments since 2021. Ethereum is currently forming a very strong pattern on a large timeframe: an ascending triangle, similar to Total ES on the daily chart. This involves a horizontal resistance just under $5,000 and consistently higher lows. The recent low in February-March 2026 continues this trend from previous lows in March 2025 and November 2022 (at the end of the bear market in 2021-2022, leading into the bull market of early 2023). This large resistance offers a potential 100% upside from the lower zone to the resistance. The theoretical objective of an ascending triangle, once resistance is broken, is determined by the height of the triangle's base, which, if projected from the breakout, could lead Ethereum to $20,000. While theoretical, the chart looks promising, depending on the broader crypto market's performance in the coming years. Ethereum has historically surged from tens or hundreds of dollars in 2019-2020 to over $4,000, and has shown strong consolidation in 2021 and 2025. Notably, Ethereum is making higher lows, unlike Bitcoin which recently made a new low relative to March 2025, indicating a divergence. Regarding ETHBTC, which measures Ethereum's performance relative to Bitcoin, an upward movement signifies Ethereum outperforming Bitcoin. A large arc saw a bottom in October 2019, followed by a significant Ethereum run before a crash until April 2025, when it rebounded from a bottom zone. A first pump occurred in summer 2025, and since then, ETHBTC has been consolidating for nearly a year. It's not a major bear market, but rather a consolidation. On the daily chart, ETHBTC is precisely on the resistance trendline. It broke this line yesterday and is retesting the breakout zone, which includes resistances from mid-March and April 1st, and specifically the top of Saturday, April 11th. This suggests a potential zone for Ethereum to regain strength against Bitcoin. Macroeconomic factors like global conflicts will influence this, but the S&P 500 nearing new highs could indicate a positive follow-through for crypto markets if conditions improve. Since the mid-March breakout on ETHBTC, Ethereum's strength relative to Bitcoin appears promising, with Ethereum seemingly gaining an advantage. Currently, both Total ES and Ethereum against USD are at resistance levels, making it not an ideal time to enter positions. Bitcoin also sits at its $75,000 resistance. Last week, Bitcoin exhibited a series of bullish patterns and subsequent pumps. Following the breakout of a descending channel on April 5th, a consolidation triangle broke out, enabling a rebound and the channel's breach. This resulted in roughly a 5% breakout, which, while seemingly small, was a welcome setup given prior market conditions. The most interesting pattern was the Wolf Wave, characterized by descending consolidation with reduced volatility, where both support and resistance decline. The theoretical target (TP) is the line between point 1 and point 4. A secondary target can be derived by projecting the preceding rise after the breakout, which yielded a 5-5.5% gain, even reaching 6% with a wick. This was a good position with a very short stop loss, less than 2%, and was shared on the Steady Lads forum when Bitcoin was at $68,000. The pattern was well-followed. Subsequently, stops were raised below the consolidation as the market consolidated on a support, retesting it with another bullish diamond pattern, also shared on Steady Lads. The stop loss was well-placed just below the support. The market then pumped to reach $75,000 yesterday, followed by a slight retracement. There's no need for stress or haste now. The focus is on observing how the market consolidates in this zone and identifying potential new patterns for entry or reasons to cut positions if supports are broken. This sequence of positions led to $74,000-$75,000. The future could bring a breakout to new highs and a resumption of the bull market, or conversely, a return to a bear market, depending on traditional markets. The goal is not to predict the future but to react to price action. That concludes this video. A weekly update will follow next week. Have a great day.