ALTCOINS : SIGNAL DANGEREUX ! 🚨 (C'était pas arrivé depuis longtemps)

The speaker begins by stating the importance of altcoins and announces a market overview focusing on major altcoins. They also plan to analyze the altcoin-to-Bitcoin ratio. Before diving into the analysis, the speaker reminds viewers about free access to their mentorship, Discord VIP, and institutional positioning reports via a platform called Wix. Access requires signing up through a partner link and being active on the platform. Instructions are provided for obtaining these free resources, involving filling out a form with Wix user ID and joining the Discord server to link accounts. The core analysis starts with the Coin 50 USDC index, an institutionally traded index by Coinbase. The key level to watch is the breakout or rejection from its current range. A rejection would signal a bearish scenario for altcoins, while a breakout, specifically breaking an order block, would indicate a bullish reversal. Currently, there's no order block break, only liquidity grab, similar to Bitcoin's recent price action. The speaker emphasizes that breaking specific key zones is crucial for altcoin momentum. They clarify that the discussion isn't about an "altcoin season" or "to the moon" scenarios, but rather retracements, potentially back to previous bearish impulse zones or short-reloading zones. Potential targets for the Coin 50 USDC index, if the range breaks, are 340 and 377. However, the current situation suggests altcoins might retrace and break their February lows. The analysis then moves to individual altcoins, starting with BNB. BNB is in a bearish trend, consolidating within a range, and has recently purged liquidity below its February low. Despite a rebound in early April, there's no bullish signal yet, and BNB hasn't formed a breaker block, which would be key for an inversion. A breaker block formation could lead to BNB reclaiming levels above 680. However, BNB has been strongly rejected and is not showing signs of forming this bullish structure. The speaker believes BNB is likely to revisit its previous lows, citing a large stop-loss zone below $500 and the 2025 low. They consider BNB a crucial indicator for altcoins and the broader crypto market, often leading price direction and signaling market tops. The speaker anticipates a significant investment opportunity when BNB bottoms out below $500, suggesting altcoins still have room to fall. Solana is then discussed. There are no new bullish signals. Since filling a weekly fair value gap, Solana has continued its bearish trend. Recent news, including that from CCF, led to a recovery of last week's high, but this resulted in a rejection. The speaker expects Solana to revisit lows below $75, specifically the February low of $67. A bullish change in perspective would require a clear breakout of the range to the upside, which is not currently happening. While current prices might seem attractive to investors, the speaker believes even lower prices, particularly below $67, would become more interesting. However, there's no bottoming structure yet; it would need to develop with specific price action patterns. The current environment is characterized by consolidation, manipulation, and expansion, with a target of at least $67. TAO is analyzed next. It has retested a fair value gap and, as the speaker puts it, "is doing TAO," meaning it fills its gaps and then stagnates. After filling its weekly fair value gap, momentum has waned, and it's consolidating. The speaker believes TAO is topping out and suggests taking profits at current levels, expecting a retracement to between 240 and 197. Positioning would become interesting again around these levels or even below the previous low of 140. A revisit below 240, or potentially below 140, is considered plausible. The speaker notes that TAO's behavior of filling gaps and then reversing is characteristic. They are observing the current candle for signs of a confirmed top and a bearish reversal, but it's not yet confirmed. AAV is addressed due to frequent questions. Despite potential team disagreements, the speaker believes these moments of market sentiment are opportune for positioning. However, they would not buy AAV here, expecting it to revisit its previous low of 80. The target is to reclaim the low from the October 10th crash. The speaker highlights the lack of momentum and uses a custom indicator showing AAV's weakening force against Bitcoin. The strong red signal indicates AAV is trying to purge long positions and buyers, heading towards $80. Similar to TAO, AAV's strength against Bitcoin has diminished after reaching its weekly fair value gap, suggesting a potential algorithmic rebalancing. Dogecoin shows significant consolidation and a lack of strength against Bitcoin. The speaker notes that its relative strength has declined. While not massively underperforming, it's not outperforming either, indicating a lack of current interest. However, it's approaching important levels where bagholders are trapped. A slight dip below 8 cents could trigger panic selling. Technically, there's nothing extraordinary, and volatility has decreased. A potential bottoming process might involve short-term price action before a recovery, but this is not yet evident. Aster, a DEX, is also described as "doing its own thing." The speaker would consider shorting it on a return to 70-71 for a bearish continuation, fitting the consolidation-manipulation-expansion pattern. XRP is still considered bearish, despite its listing on the CME. There are no bullish indications. Similar to Solana, liquidity grabs have not triggered further bullish continuation. There's no bullish structure or momentum. XRP could revisit its February low, and the speaker anticipates a retest of the breakout below $1. They expect panicked buyers to capitulate below $1, noting a significant gap in the volume profile that algorithms are likely to rebalance. Placing buy limit orders below $1 is suggested, targeting the area around $0.96, corresponding to a previous swing high. No bottoming is predicted for XRP at this moment. The speaker then skips discussing Trump. HyperLiquide is highlighted as an asset with strong momentum, but with significant divergence from its generated revenue. While not necessarily signaling an immediate collapse, the speaker finds reload zones more interesting, suggesting potential speculation below $29. A return to its all-time high is possible but would be highly divergent with its revenue. The speaker is unsure if the current rebound marks a definitive top and awaits the candle's close. A move back below $34 would increase the likelihood of a retracement, potentially towards $25. BGB is retesting its entire movement. The volume profile shows a significant gap up to 1.65, suggesting a potential target. Another target is at 9.78 cents. The speaker believes the market is rebalancing this supply-demand imbalance, with the rebalancing nearing completion around 68 cents. BGB is now below the re-accumulation zones, making them potentially interesting, but the speaker awaits structural development indicating seller exhaustion and a confirmed bottom. They are generally bullish on exchange tokens like BNB, BGB, and OKB, believing they have inherent value due to their control by exchanges and potential for collateralization. However, they note that pumping these tokens is only incentivized when there's market interest. The speaker believes exchange tokens, including lower-cap ones like WXT from Wix, will likely see significant pumps in the next cycle. Cardano is mentioned briefly, with bagholders present due to a CME listing. While price levels are interesting, further declines are possible due to a lack of bullish price dynamics. The video concludes with an observation on Bitcoin vs. Altcoins. For the first time in a while, both Bitcoin and altcoins are declining simultaneously. This synchronized drop, unlike previous market behavior where one would rise as the other fell, suggests a potential return of bearish momentum in altcoins. The speaker warns to be extremely cautious. If Bitcoin rejects its current potential top (possibly around $75,000 by the time the video is published) and starts to fall, and altcoins against Bitcoin also fall, it indicates accelerating bearish momentum in altcoins. Their custom indicator shows altcoins are not yet in a bearish force ratio, but if they enter one, caution is advised. A key level to watch on Altcoin vs. Bitcoin is the last weekly fair value gap. If this gap breaks, altcoins against Bitcoin are likely to fall regardless of Bitcoin's movement, leading to a scenario of "Alt BTC dump, BTC dump, Alt USD dump++," meaning altcoins will fall more significantly than Bitcoin. The Total 3 (altcoin market cap excluding Bitcoin) against Bitcoin is also analyzed. It shows that when Bitcoin dumps slightly, altcoins accelerate their decline. The market is potentially retesting the wick from October 10th. The long-term trendline for altcoins against Bitcoin, which acted as resistance during the bear market, is still in play, indicating no breakout yet. The speaker warns of potential accelerated bearish movement in altcoins. The speaker concludes by asking viewers to like, subscribe, and comment with coin suggestions. They reiterate the free access to Wix resources via the provided link, emphasizing the need to use that specific link for activation.