
Le seul endroit où tu verras CECI - Bitcoin
AI Summary
This summary provides an overview of the market analysis and trading strategies shared by the "Underground Trader," based on his custom technical indicators and current market observations.
**The Underground Trading Philosophy and Custom Indicators**
The speaker introduces himself as the creator of a "homemade" indicator ecosystem, specifically highlighting the "Open Sit Map." He emphasizes that these tools are unique to his platform and warns that seeing them elsewhere suggests they have been copied. The Open Sit Map focuses on tracking the opening and closing of market positions. On this map, green zones represent the top 5% of activity, indicating areas with massive position openings.
A key historical observation from this indicator is the "maximal open interest" level recorded during the previous bull market around $61,700. The speaker notes that this level, which many have forgotten, is currently acting as a significant support zone. Currently, the market appears to be in a range where the "bulls" are clearly in control, having attempted to break upward several times.
**Bitcoin Analysis and Recent Trades**
The speaker shares details of his recent Bitcoin (BTC) activity, noting he waited patiently like a "sniper" during a recent range-bound period. He entered a long position at $71,265, betting on an upward breakout. He has already taken a conservative first "take profit" (TP) at $74,000, advocating for a progressive approach to securing gains. He also mentions a successful trade on Chainlink (Link), where he secured $41,000 in profits.
Using the "Underground Trading Long Short Volume Delta" indicator, he identifies two "Points of Control" (POC) that serve as support. For short-term trades, he suggests using these yellow POC zones to calculate risk-to-reward ratios. He notes a current risk-reward ratio of 3.74 if the stop loss is placed slightly below the lower POC. He identifies aggressive buyers around the $74,763 level and suggests that as the price approaches these zones, short-sellers are forced to close their positions, which creates further buying pressure and "pumps" the price. Looking ahead, he sees potential targets at $77,900 or even $80,000 if current theories hold.
**Market Sentiment and Macro Events**
The speaker expresses skepticism toward "liquidity maps," calling them tools that "noobs" use to feel like professionals. However, he uses them to gauge where inexperienced traders are positioned, often looking for "traps" when the direction seems too obvious to the retail crowd.
Regarding macroeconomics, the central event of the week is the interest rate decision. While there is a 99.1% probability that rates will remain unchanged, the speaker warns of short-term volatility during Jerome Powell’s speech. He notes that even a simple greeting from Powell can cause the market to fluctuate, advising scalpers to be cautious.
**ETFs and Institutional Activity**
There is a notable trend in Bitcoin ETFs, specifically with BlackRock "recharging" their positions while others remain inactive. The speaker observes that the ETF flow chart looks like it is forming a "bottom," showing a solid rebound compared to the sideways movement of Bitcoin’s price. This suggests that large institutional investors still believe in Bitcoin’s potential, contrasting with the more pessimistic sentiment often found among retail traders.
**Ethereum and Community Access**
Ethereum (ETH) has seen a massive 24% explosion in just a few days. While the price is finding support at its Point of Control, the speaker finds Bitcoin easier to trade currently because Ethereum’s risk-to-reward ratio is less favorable (around 1.4).
Finally, the speaker mentions that while there is a temporary bug on the website for existing users, new users can access these indicators via a form. "Whales" with high trading volumes get direct access to Open Interest data, while others receive daily screenshots via the Discord community. He concludes with a community contest, asking followers to predict Ethereum’s percentage move to win a $50 prize.