Guerre en Iran: comment Donald Trump a mis les USA dans la rue !

Good evening everyone. Today, 8 million Americans marched in the streets against the war in Iran. This movement, initiated by "No Kings," which is reportedly backed by Soros and Rockefeller, is significant. Previously, "No Kings" could mobilize around 100,000 people per city, but this time, the scale is unprecedented, with numbers multiplying tenfold to millions across states. This indicates a growing dissent within the Maga movement, as evidenced by figures like Tucker Carlson and Joe Rogan distancing themselves, Candace Owens, a loyal Trump supporter, and Nick Fuentes, a far-right figure, even calling for a vote for Democrats, which is a major shift. We are joined tonight by Béatrice and Félix Marcard, both American citizens, offering valuable insights into US politics. Béatrice notes that Nick Fuentes, often considered neo-Nazi, has been rumored to be an agent designed to discredit the far-right. His call to vote Democrat could lend credence to such theories. She also points out that while Soros-funded organizations like Indivisible (which received $3 million from Open Society in 2023) organize these protests, the sheer number of participants suggests a deeper, fertile ground of discontent beyond mere funding. The protests are not solely about the Iran war but also issues like ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement), which has seen controversy and even deaths. Trump himself has backtracked on ICE, advocating for a change in strategy. The war in Iran has been a major catalyst, as large-scale demonstrations are not typical in the US, unlike France. For 7 to 8 million people to take to the streets is historic, possibly the largest demonstration in US history. This reflects a growing fracture within MAGA, with a "war of podcasters" emerging. Prominent figures like Megan Kelly, a former Fox News journalist and Trump supporter, are now vocal against the war. While some argue MAGA almost entirely supports Trump’s actions, MAGA only represents 30% of American votes. Crucially, about 60% of Americans oppose the war, a stark contrast to previous conflicts like the Iraq War, which initially had majority support. Historically, the largest post-WWII demonstrations against the Iraq War were global, with significant turnouts in London, Paris, Rome, and Berlin, but less so in the US. Trump campaigned on the promise of avoiding new wars, particularly in Iran, stating the Iraq War was a mistake. Even Peter Thiel, a major MAGA financier, had criticized the Iraq War. Trump’s base was against neoconservatives like Dick Cheney, who supported the Iraq War and even endorsed Kamala Harris. This makes Trump’s current stance on Iran a betrayal for many of his supporters. A former Republican and Trump donor expressed feeling "rockpulled" by Trump, akin to a scam where the rug is pulled from under investors in fake cryptocurrencies like "Mania Coin" and "Trump Coin." This sentiment of betrayal is widespread among conservative voters who supported Trump but now feel let down by his actions, especially regarding the war. Béatrice confirms this sentiment, stating she was shocked by Trump's intervention. She explains that figures like Lindsey Graham, initially a "Never Trumper," later became a Trump supporter, only to now be in an awkward position. Similarly, Robert Kennedy Jr. and Tulsi Gabbard, both anti-interventionists who rallied behind Trump for his promises of non-intervention, are now in a difficult spot. Joe Kent, a counter-terrorism chief under Tulsi Gabbard, even resigned. This indicates a broad disillusionment among those who joined Trump's movement based on his anti-war stance. The shift is so profound that former "Never Trumpers," who are typically neoconservative and pro-war, are now Trump's biggest supporters, including Lindsey Graham, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz. Ted Cruz, a very influential Republican, even argued for unconditional support for Israel based on religious texts, sparking a major debate with Tucker Carlson. This highlights the significant role religion plays in American political discourse, a stark contrast to secular France. Only 7% of Americans support ground intervention in Iran, despite constant media promotion. The war is estimated to cost $1 billion per day, paid by American taxpayers, who also send their children to die in the Middle East. Veterans often return traumatized and poorly treated, many ending up homeless. With domestic issues like unemployment and lack of social security, Americans view these foreign wars as an injustice. MAGA, while supporting Trump, does not represent the entire Republican party, let alone the majority of Americans. Independent voters, who often sway elections, are now shifting towards Democrats. This war is the most unpopular at its onset in American history, even more so than the Civil War. Already, 13 American lives have been lost, though the actual number could be much higher due to classified casualties. François Asselineau's tweet highlights the counterproductive outcomes: Iran now controls the Strait of Hormuz, its oil sanctions are lifted, it's developing nuclear weapons, US bases are vulnerable, and inflation is rising. US allies have lost trillions in financial markets, with Asian states particularly affected. Trump, despite claiming victory and peace, is facing a "bloodbath" in financial markets, with Nasdaq down 8% in a month and Oracle losing 50%. Rumors suggest the UN is considering a unilateral nuclear strike on Tehran, while the Italian Defense Minister expressed deep concern. It's crucial to present facts without bias, supporting neither side but seeking truth. The goal is not to justify actions but to understand them. Trump's popularity has plummeted by 15.3% in one week. Even India's second-largest news magazine, Outlook, a natural US and Israeli ally, questioned Trump's actions, indicating a loss of support even among allies. The global community is largely confused about the war's objectives, as Trump himself has offered multiple, contradictory reasons for the intervention. This confusion, coupled with economic repercussions like fuel rationing in Australia and other countries, points to a global crisis. Félix Marcard expresses dismay at the Western conversation surrounding the conflict, feeling it's disconnected from reality. While glad about the protests, he believes many participants are manipulated. He argues that the deep state ensures that changes in political leadership (Republican or Democrat) do not alter the imperialist foreign policy. He notes that MAGA supporters, who believed Trump would de-imperialise the US, are now disillusioned. The "America First" slogan is gaining traction beyond Nick Fuentes, being adopted by figures like Marjorie Taylor Green. Béatrice agrees that Trump failed to "drain the swamp" as promised. She emphasizes that people like her and Félix are caught between broken promises and instrumentalized betrayals. She points out that the US political debate, particularly in the West, is detached from the realities faced by most of the world's population. Félix suggests that the world has been in World War III for two years, largely unnoticed. Béatrice finds Félix's perspective interesting but criticizes his tendency to frame the debate as an opposition, which hinders constructive dialogue. She advocates for re-humanizing discussions without self-flagellation or blaming others for past actions. Her focus is on finding solutions and moving forward, rather than dwelling on blame. The anti-war camp in the US, despite its division, faces a critical question: can it stop the war? Trump's legacy is at stake. With Democrats possibly gaining control of Congress in the midterms, an impeachment attempt is likely. While Democrats were pro-war when Kamala Harris was involved, the situation has reversed, creating a chaotic political landscape. If the war escalates and impacts Americans further, especially with potential terror attacks or rising inflation, the situation could become catastrophic. The term "TACO" (Trump Always Chickens Out) has emerged, reflecting the market's expectation of Trump backing down, which causes oil prices to drop and stocks to rise. This undermines his image as a strong leader. The global community, including leaders like Egypt's Al-Sisi, is pleading with Trump to stop the war, highlighting the widespread "stupefaction" at the unfolding events. Trump's public humiliation of figures like Crown Prince Bin Salman has further damaged his standing in the Arab world, where such insults are deeply offensive. This raises questions about Trump's mental state and whether he is intentionally escalating conflicts for messianic reasons, as some evangelicals believe a third world war is necessary for the return of Jesus Christ. Trump's credibility is eroding as he makes contradictory statements and fabricates events, such as claiming Iran gave him 20 oil tankers, which Iran promptly denied. This demotes his word and makes him unpredictable, a dangerous trait in diplomacy. He appears to be in a state of panic, realizing his actions have backfired and he has lost control. The anti-war movement, despite its diverse motivations, shows significant strength with millions protesting across 3,000 cities. This indicates a powerful public sentiment against the war. The question remains whether this force can halt the escalating conflict. Regarding the future, J.D. Vance's political career could be salvaged if he manages to find a diplomatic solution with Iran where others have failed. However, a ground invasion could damage his standing as a former Marine. Many former Trump supporters, like Robert Kennedy Jr., Tulsi Gabbard, and Elon Musk, have gone silent, likely in "stupefaction." If Trump sends ground troops to Iran, with only 7% public approval, it could lead to civil unrest, especially if a draft becomes necessary due to Iran's large population and size. This, combined with existing economic crises like the housing market crash and potential debt default, could create a "generalized chaos." The war is also accelerating de-dollarization, with Iran and China increasingly avoiding the dollar in trade. Furthermore, Trump's actions have weakened US allies, particularly Europe, which is now struggling with energy supplies due to sanctions against Russia. This strategic blunder is seen as inexplicable. The Saudi monarchy, dependent on external support, cannot realistically turn to Russia for protection, making US support essential despite any diplomatic slights. The current situation suggests a deeper, incomprehensible agenda, possibly linked to an "eschatological vision" or a "Great Reset" that the COVID-19 pandemic failed to achieve, potentially through energy scarcity and carbon passes. Even major tech projects like Elon Musk's Terrafactory and SpaceX IPO face challenges due to the current market downturn and energy demands. The collapse of the AI bubble, following exaggerated orders, further indicates economic instability. In conclusion, the situation is one of widespread confusion and alarm. The lack of a clear, rational explanation for Trump's actions leads to speculation about hidden motives, including blackmail or religious zeal. The global consequences, from economic instability to potential nuclear escalation, are dire. The hope remains that open dialogue and a shared commitment to peace can avert further catastrophe.