BITCOIN : LES BALEINES ANNONCENT $82,000 EN MAI ! 🚨

The latest economic figures are out, and they are interesting. We’ll review them today, along with new all-time highs (ATHs) for indices. Bitcoin is also entering a crucial zone. Before we begin, remember that your Wix accesses are available. This includes the CODE report, mentorship, and VIP access on Discord, all free. Simply use the first pinned comment link to register on Wix, our partner platform, and remain active in spot or futures trading. A tutorial for the platform is on our YouTube channel. To claim your access, fill out the second link—a quick form. Click "get my access," enter your email and Wix UID (found top right on Wix), then submit. Afterward, join our Discord via the provided link, go to the #inscription channel, and type `/f affiliation Wix` followed by your UID. This links your accounts. After a few days of activity, you'll automatically unlock VIP crypto channels and the Market Review CODE report, which I’m showing you because the next report arrives tonight. It includes stock data and market positioning. For example, NASDAQ asset managers have increased long positions while others panic, and leveraged funds reduced shorts, explaining the indices' continued rise despite bearish sentiment. Bitcoin, however, might be different. Let's quickly cover recent news. Yesterday's GDP figures came in slightly below expectations, which is positive. This suggests the US economy may need monetary easing in the coming months, as high interest rates are unsustainable. However, the ongoing conflict between Iran and the US keeps oil prices high, fueling inflation and preventing rate cuts. The core PCE, released yesterday, met expectations at 0.3%, indicating persistent inflation pressure. But the slightly lower GDP figures are key. I observed the market's probability for rate hikes in 2027. Before the GDP release, the market priced in almost a 50% chance of a rate hike in 2027 (2026 was around 15%). Currently, the maximum probability is 22% in October 2027. This suggests the market increasingly believes rate hikes are unlikely. At worst, no rate cuts; at best, a cut; but at worst, no hikes. This is encouraging and immediately impacted the dollar, which was rejected and is now seeing a bearish leg. The VIX continues to fall, which is our best indicator. As long as the VIX drops, rising oil prices are not a market threat. Oil may retest highs above $115, but the market doesn't perceive this as a danger. Therefore, rising oil does not necessarily mean a crash for US indices or risk assets. Bitcoin, however, is decoupled from indices. Indices continue to climb. The NASDAQ, when momentum indicators are applied, shows weakening strength, but the daily bias remains intact. Yesterday, the daily fair value gap held perfectly; we made a new high, and despite an initial red candle, it closed green. We're above the previous high with no bearish fair value gap. Nothing on the daily chart indicates bearishness yet. I expect we'll address the untouched points of interest (POIs) below later, but for now, the market accumulates them. April's monthly close for indices was magnificent, signaling higher prices in the coming months. Even if May is bearish, June or July will likely retrace to fair value gaps, then continue upward. Unless the situation deteriorates significantly (e.g., recession), it's highly probable we won't revisit this year's lows. The bottom seems to be in for indices. We'll monitor if asset managers increase long positions and leveraged funds close shorts. If so, it points to continued market upside. The dollar index also shows continued shorting, which is favorable for higher prices in US indices, barring major geopolitical shocks. Geopolitical events would force position adjustments, but without them, the direction is clear: bullish for now. A small anomaly: Solana asset managers significantly increased long positions on CME, which is worth watching. This content is usually VIP-exclusive, but I'm showing it as the new report comes out tonight. The Dow Jones exploded yesterday. The weekly fair value gap is a clear continuation zone. I am long on this weekly fair value gap on Prime XBT, having taken some profits, but targeting ATHs. I believe US indices will continue to rise. The Dow Jones should make a new ATH. The dollar is falling despite rising oil, and the VIX is dropping, showing no stress on indices. This is interesting. Regarding BTC, I still believe we'll fill the gap in Q2. Whether in May or later, Q2 ends June 30, so there's time. Options data shows continued speculation for higher prices, with calls for $80,000 by end-May, and recently, $82,000. Bearish traders speculate on Bitcoin at or below $70,000 by end-May. Open interest is dominated by call buyers, betting on higher future prices. Unless a new bearish dynamic emerges, they might be right, speculating on Bitcoin revisiting its CME gap, which is still unfilled. We stopped just before the target on futures, so I think we'll go there. We could still drop before, but breaking this current high would open the possibility of a new price structure inversion with a breaker forming and triggering higher. Without a breaker, we're in a minor bearish dynamic, potentially heading for the weekly lows around $74,000 (CME futures; perp chart is similar but slightly different prices). This would work through the bullish impulse and fair value gap zones, clearing stops or recovering the gap and uncollected stops. On the perp chart, the levels are clearer: last week's low, and in 4-hour, stops below the low. If we don't break this order block to form a breaker, we could take stops. But if we don't settle above it, it signals bearish continuation to clear more liquidity or uncollected stops. I observe the last piece of the fair value gap as a high-probability reversal zone. The market has already purged liquidity at this potentially protected high, so it might not revisit it. A new impulse could start. We could see an AB=CD pattern, targeting the weekly low I showed on the perp market (similar on CME, around $73,669) and the relative equal low at $70,400. These zones are reachable if we're in a bearish dynamic. This is a very high-probability reversal zone today