
TRUMP ANNONCE L'EXPLOSION DES MARCHÉS !
Audio Summary
AI Summary
Donald Trump has predicted market surges following the imminent end of a conflict. The video discusses inflation figures, the dollar, and gold, alongside market indices. Before diving into analysis, the presenter reminds viewers of free access to a VIP Discord and mentorship program, achievable by signing up with partner broker Primex BT, making a minimum $500 deposit, and trading. Primex BT offers trading across various assets including commodities, crypto, and stocks, with current bonuses for depositing.
Inflation data, slightly exceeding expectations at 3.7-3.8% and 0.4% monthly, is deemed not dramatically negative, but sufficient to prevent interest rate cuts. The market, however, appears unfazed, focusing instead on record corporate earnings. A potential market correction is anticipated when earnings disappoint. The current market behavior suggests a bubble forming, with dips being bought, driven by institutional momentum. Analysis of the COT report indicates asset managers are heavily invested in the market, speculating on further upside. The presenter emphasizes the difficulty of predicting bubble tops.
Regarding the Dow Jones, the presenter has increased long exposure, citing a daily fair value gap and weekly fair value gap as attractive entry points. Despite taking some profits at previous highs, the aim is to reach all-time highs (ATH). The weekly fair value gap has been tested, signaling continuation. The market is consolidating before approaching another upside target at 50260, with the ATH as the ultimate goal. The daily chart shows the fair value gap filled and stops taken out, but with a green candle close, suggesting a bullish trap for sellers and an expansionary move towards the 50232 level. Speculation for the rest of the week remains bullish on the Dow Jones, with dips into discount zones and fair value gaps offering buying opportunities. Similar bullish sentiment extends to the NASDAQ and S&P 500, as long as the Dow Jones hasn't reached its ATH.
The S&P 500 has also filled its fair value gap and taken out liquidity. The presenter views these patterns as continuation signals, with potential targets between 7509 and 7546 points this week. The underlying market structure, momentum, and lack of stress in the VIX support a bullish outlook. However, the potential resurgence of conflict over the weekend could introduce volatility.
The presenter's analysis of oil indicates continuation patterns, with a potential revisit of highs. This, rather than the dollar's current movement, might be the catalyst for market stress, potentially leading to deeper retracements on indices after the Dow Jones hits its ATH. The dollar index, despite inflation figures, is holding its weekly fair value gap, maintaining a bullish bias, though it’s currently ranging and not pressuring the indices. The presenter concludes by reiterating the bullish outlook for indices, advising to watch for discount zones as buying opportunities.