Des signaux positifs intéressants sur le marché crypto ! - Analyse crypto 📈

Welcome to this weekly crypto market analysis on Stadyads and Journal du Coin. This session provides a market update, focusing on technical analysis using a clean, simple approach with minimal indicators to clearly identify market trends and signals. TradingView is the primary tool used, widely adopted for technical analysis across crypto assets, stocks, bonds, and indices. While TradingView also supports fundamental analysis, this session concentrates on chart analysis, specifically line charts. The analysis begins with Total ES, which represents the Crypto Total Market Cap excluding stablecoins. On a weekly chart (1W), a critical zone around 2.25-2.26 is identified. The market is currently retesting this zone, which previously acted as support but now functions as resistance, a common occurrence after a support level is broken. This zone is described as somewhat magnetic, attracting the price repeatedly. On a daily chart, the market appears to be in an ascending triangle formation. Although there was a daily close above the critical zone, it was not very clean, possibly influenced by ongoing macroeconomic fundamental news, such as the conflict in the Middle East, leading to more erratic market movements. However, on a 3-day chart, the last candle's close was almost perfectly on this critical zone, which has historically played a significant role as both support and resistance since March 2024. The market has bounced off this zone multiple times during the consolidation observed since early 2026. Currently, on both weekly and 3-day timeframes, the market remains in a consolidation phase, with no clear close above this resistance zone. A daily breakout was observed, but it is considered a false breakout as the price retested lower. The key takeaway for those not currently positioned in crypto is that the market's direction in higher timeframes remains undecided. It could be a bullish consolidation before a genuine breakout to the upside, or a consolidation similar to late 2025, which saw a fakeout followed by a price drop. Without a crystal ball, it's impossible to predict the future, and positions are taken based on probabilities. Moving to Bitcoin (BTC) on the weekly chart, it is retesting a resistance zone. On the 3-day chart, there have been two bounces off this zone, and a retest is currently underway. More interestingly, on the daily chart, Bitcoin remains below a trendline that began in early October 2025. This trendline saw a second touch in mid-January 2026, when many believed the consolidation was over and a bull market resumption was imminent. However, a reversal occurred, leading to a re-integration into the consolidation and a significant market crash over several days/weeks. Since early February, Bitcoin has been consolidating horizontally between approximately $60,000 and $75,000. A first test of the resistance trendline was observed, with a slight close above it. However, this is not considered a decisive breakout but rather a close at the resistance level, followed by a retest and further consolidation. On the 3-day chart, Bitcoin is just above the mid-March 2026 peak, appearing to consolidate above it. On the weekly chart, a more significant development is a break of the trendline and what could be interpreted as a double bottom pattern. The current week's candle is consolidating above this, but last week's candle closed precisely on the resistance. If negative news emerges this week, the price could fall back below both the double bottom's neckline and the trendline, invalidating these potential bullish signals. Conversely, a strong close above both the trendline and the double bottom's neckline this week would be a positive sign for a medium-to-long-term recovery in Bitcoin. There's also a mention of a "glitch" or "bug" in TradingView's index chart, showing a large gap that isn't present when viewing BTC/USDT directly. When accounting for this, the price closed exactly on the resistance, placing the market in a precarious "between two chairs" position. A clear green close above the double bottom this week is crucial for its validation. Zooming into Bitcoin on the 4-hour chart, since early April, there has been an upward trend with a series of bullish patterns and strong support. A Wolf Wave pattern led to a price explosion, breakout, and consolidation above a new support around $7500. This was retested before another diamond pattern led to a new breakout and higher high. The market has been ascending in a stair-step fashion, with new consolidations holding well and previous resistance levels becoming new supports. The current situation shows a retest of support after a breakout and re-integration. However, a critical observation is that while previous bounces resulted in new higher highs, the most recent rebound did not. This indicates a potential slowdown in the trend's strength. The market is finding it harder to advance, suggesting that the initial pump might have been a first bullish wave, followed by a longer consolidation period to establish a base. Alternatively, given the 3-day resistance, it's possible there was no true breakout, and the recent rally was merely a bullish movement within a larger downtrend, potentially leading to new lows. Currently, there is no clear direction, only a deceleration of the trend's force. The strong breakouts that previously led to new highs are now replaced by bounces that fail to establish new peaks, despite support holding. This signals a potential weakening of the trend. For those not yet in the market and considering 4-hour or daily trading, it might be too late to take large positions. A more favorable scenario would involve the market forming a clean pattern like a triangle or flag, offering opportunities to re-enter with good risk-reward ratios. For those already in positions below $70,000, the focus is now on securing gains and monitoring market evolution, especially in relation to the medium-term outlook for Bitcoin. Regarding altcoins, there's not much to report. Against USD, altcoins remain in a large consolidation without new highs. Against BTC, a previous consolidation with decreasing volatility and expectations of a strong breakout to resume an uptrend resulted in a downside break, leading to renewed volatility and bearish momentum. A bearish break below the early March low, which served as support, was followed by a retest of this support as resistance. Altcoins are not yet in an uptrend but are approaching the bottom zone seen during the mini alt season of summer 2025. This could present interesting opportunities for positioning in altcoins, though caution is advised until the market turns clearly bullish. Ethereum (ETH) against BTC (ETH/BTC) is noteworthy. It initially closed above a significant green resistance trendline but then crashed back below it, indicating it's not yet fully ready to rebound. It's currently on a support zone representing the March 24th peak, suggesting a potential rebound. Ethereum is being closely watched due to significant development and potential for a first bullish wave, consolidation, and subsequent rise, which could align with fundamental growth. However, on the 4-hour chart, ETH/BTC has broken a trendline, which is not ideal, but a rebound is expected in the longer term. This market analysis concludes with a reiteration of the consistent plan for Bitcoin over several weeks. The focus now is to observe market unfolding and hope for altcoins to reach the identified grey zone, offering favorable risk-reward opportunities. The next market analysis video will be in early May, as there will be no weekly video analysis for the next two weeks.