TRUMP FAIT TOUT POUR QUE LES MARCHÉS NE CHUTENT PAS !

Donald Trump is actively working to prevent market downturns, exemplified by the extension of a ceasefire. This development is a key focus for understanding the current direction of indices, oil, the dollar, and gold. Before diving into market analysis, the speaker reminds viewers of the availability of VIP access to their Discord and a comprehensive mentorship program. Access is free and obtained by registering on Primex BT through a partner link and making a minimum deposit of $500. This deposit represents the trader's capital. Primex BT is a broker that allows trading of stocks, Forex, indices, and commodities using crypto collateral, enabling trades like NASDAQ with Bitcoin. After registering and depositing, users receive access to the Discord and their VIP role. Regarding indices, Trump's announcement of a ceasefire extension has created an impression that he is serious about reaching an agreement. Whether this is genuine or a bluff is uncertain, but markets have reacted positively. The Dow Jones has not yet reached its all-time high (ATH). The speaker maintains a bullish outlook on US indices, including the NASDAQ and S&P 500, as long as the Dow Jones has not achieved its ATH, expecting them to continue moving higher. Yesterday, a small red candle appeared on the chart. A previous setup involving buying until the weekly high was delivered has become invalid as the high has already been reached. The market has seemingly collected sell-side liquidity and is now moving higher. The speaker still anticipates a revisit of the daily fair value gap, but the overall dynamic remains bullish. A range is currently being formed, and the recent liquidity grab might be enough to reignite bullish continuation. Currently, the flow is bullish, with no signs of reversal or structural changes in price. Trump's strategy of releasing news whenever markets decline to stimulate upward movement is evident and, according to the speaker, should be allowed to continue. The primary bullish driver remains the Dow Jones's inability to reach its ATH, which is expected to trigger bullish momentum in other indices. The S&P 500 is also being monitored, with a potential revisit to clear the lows of Monday, indicated by an equal low (Iqualo). The market is currently struggling with a small fair value gap, but the S&P 500 has left relative equal lows behind, suggesting a potential sweep of either boundary before a definitive direction is established. The geopolitical situation remains volatile, with Trump initially signaling readiness to bomb Iran, followed by the ceasefire extension announcement. This inconsistency makes the current phase complex, leading the speaker to refrain from making entries in indices at this time. Any potential swing trades would be placed below daily lows in daily fair value gap zones, which are not currently available. Patience and observation of price action are key, with a prevailing bullish bias maintained until the Dow Jones reaches its ATH. Dips are seen as buying opportunities, unless the geopolitical landscape or the structure of other markets, like the dollar or oil, changes. The dollar is currently consolidating its highs without significant developments, and it is still trading within the last weekly fair value gap. There are no reversal signals on the dollar, leading to an expectation of consolidation within the weekly fair value gap. A break of this gap would signal bearish continuation, targeting lower levels, potentially the February lows, and subsequently levels below 96.14. However, the reaction within the weekly fair value gap needs to be observed first. The dollar experienced a stop hunt, followed by Trump's ceasefire extension, which is encouraging for a consolidating or declining dollar. Oil has also seen a liquidity grab and has returned to the daily fair value gap. As long as the geopolitical situation remains unchanged, the flow in oil is bearish, suggesting a potential revisit of last week's lows. The market is expected to move towards filling the gap, especially since there was no liquidity grab before the current movement. The speaker views this as a sign of continuation, and oil is anticipated to fall below the 85 level, which would be favorable for indices. The geopolitical situation, particularly Iran's stance on negotiations, remains a key factor. Technically, price delivery has occurred, leading to consolidation, but the bearish flow favors risk assets. However, the presence of relative equal highs might suggest that an agreement could be unlikely. Regarding gold, the speaker believes all relevant areas have been covered. The recent bearish movement occurred before the ceasefire extension rumors. Gold is still reacting to this news, but the rebound dynamic remains intact. Although a fair value gap has been lost, it could be regained. The bias for gold is to continue targeting the OTE zone and rebalancing the weekly fair value gap. Sweeps of previous daily lows are seen as opportunities to speculate towards these targets. The market has taken out the previous week's low, and with the recent filling of fair value gaps, it's possible that the weekly low has been established. This suggests an ascending higher low in these fair value gap zones, which could lead to increased pressure on last week's highs. A quick look at European indices, specifically the DAX, shows a potential continuation towards a new ATH. The price action indicates a bullish dynamic, with liquidity grabs and movements into discount zones being attractive for continuation trades. The previous lows have been cleared within a fair value gap, signaling continuation towards a new ATH. An alert has been set for the DAX. The CAC 40 exhibits a similar pattern, having cleared previous lows, including the 2024 low. A revisit to the 2025 low is not expected unless there's a significant market crash. The market has cleared liquidity in the discount zone and fair value gap, suggesting potential for new ATHs. While a rejection from the current gaps is possible, the speaker anticipates the CAC 40 to reach new highs, though it is not personally traded. A return below current lows to reach ATHs is possible, but the primary expectation is for new highs. The speaker concludes by encouraging viewers to like, subscribe, and comment, and reiterates the links for free accompaniment programs in the description.