URGENT BITCOIN ! 🚨 SIGNAL DE RETOURNEMENT POSSIBLE !

The current market retracement is attributed to recent weekend events, prompting a broad market overview and specific Bitcoin levels to watch. Before diving into the analysis, the speaker highlights available access to Wig, featuring a free "rapport code" detailing institutional protection strategies against market movements. This access also includes VIP Discord entry and a comprehensive A-to-Z trading mentorship program, all accessible via a link in the pinned comment. The process involves signing up on Wix, a crypto trading platform with no mandatory KYC, offering futures trading. Active users who fill out a form gain access. A quick demonstration shows clicking "obtenir mes accès," entering an email and Wix notification ID, and submitting the form. The Discord link appears, and users can join the "inscription" channel, use the command `/f`, select "affiliation Wix," and enter their UID. Eligible users will unlock VIP crypto channels and the market review report code. Eligibility is automatic after a few days of platform activity. The core of the analysis focuses on the geopolitical situation, specifically the diminished probability of an agreement, which the market is pricing in. The uncertainty lies in whether this signifies a definitive end to negotiations and a conflict resurgence, or a prolonged ceasefire with further discussions. Rumors suggest Iran's unwillingness to negotiate with the US are problematic. The market's reaction is evident: the dollar opened higher, having broken below its March lows. Friday or Saturday's analysis had predicted the fulfillment of delivery objectives for the dollar's March lows, oil's lows, and US indices' highs. Consequently, oil is rebounding, and gaps have appeared on the dollar and oil charts. Conversely, Bitcoin and likely US indices show bearish gaps. Technically, US indices are not showing significant damage, and the dollar's upward move hasn't yet formed extraordinary bullish gaps. The key observation for the dollar will be its ability to surpass a specific price zone, with a potential 12-hour fair value gap (FVG) indicated. The current upward movement might just be a rebound to fill this FVG before further declines. Understanding market flow is crucial. Bitcoin also presents a significant gap, and a revisit to fill it is anticipated before potentially breaking important levels. The Nasdaq shows no dramatic technical damage, with no daily lows retraced. A return to fill an FVG is expected, especially after reaching its all-time high (ATH). Geopolitics will be the primary driver; a conflict resurgence could lead to bearish pressure on risk assets. Regarding Bitcoin specifically, it has retraced to fill previous fair value gaps on its prior upward leg. The CME gap is no longer a primary concern. The speaker points out the FVG fill on the previous upward move. Bitcoin has also swept some recent lows, including Friday's low, as predicted. The last bullish candle has been broken. If a new FVG forms here, it would create a new order block, not a breaker, but a new resistance at the current high. This could signal a retracement, potentially to the $73,200 zone to target the next stop liquidity, or a more significant pullback towards the $70,500 zone, more precisely around $70,400. This area coincides with the weekly FVG, presenting an ideal retracement zone for a bullish continuation towards $80,000 and beyond in the second quarter, contingent on geopolitical stability. If geopolitics remain non-catastrophic, this could be a buy-the-dip opportunity. Derivatives market activity shows a lack of strong conviction in either longs or shorts on the dip. Open interest is declining, indicating both buyers and sellers are closing positions, suggesting a market-wide wait-and-see approach. The speaker shares their personal trading position: a 10% long exposure was stopped out at breakeven, leaving only a short position initiated in the FVG zone after the order block formation. Their take profit (TP) was triggered on the recent low of $74,400, increasing profits and reducing exposure. They also have a stop profit on this short, preferring to exit if the price revisits the previous high to avoid stops being taken above it. This trade is now risk-free. The next TP is set below the $73,220 low. If this level is breached without price reaction, a sweep towards $70,400 is expected, with a TP order already placed. The speaker intends to reduce short exposure significantly unless compelling long opportunities arise. The conviction is that the price will revisit lower lows. A decisive break below a specific low would constitute a market structure shift, signaling a retracement towards the $70,300-$70,400 zone, which aligns with the weekly FVG. However, a scenario to consider is the start of a new quarter, liquidity having been taken above the previous high and below the current low. A retest of the breaker zone is also possible, potentially leading to a bullish continuation. Geopolitical events will confirm or deny this scenario. The speaker would not buy Bitcoin at current prices, deeming them suboptimal. The ideal scenario involves a sweep of the recent low today. Another attractive zone is the remaining daily FVG that needs to be filled. The speaker advocates for not buying until the $70,300 level is cleared. Open interest is decreasing, and buyer stops are located below $73,200, supporting the potential move towards $70,400 if the structure breaks. Ethereum is also mentioned, having swept its stops. No breaker block is identified; it's considered liquidity grab. The market lacks strong momentum, with limited new money entering. Volatility is contracting, indicated by decreasing volatility bars. Despite recent strong candles, overall volatility and momentum are not aggressive. The market exhibits a pattern of taking highs, retracing, taking highs, and retracing, suggesting it might not be at a definitive bottom. The speaker posits a scenario of a continued downtrend or sideways movement throughout the quarter, with a potential revisit of current lows around 2026, based on a developing trendline. For Ethereum, depending on today's close, a new order block might form if the last bullish candle is broken. This could signal a reversal to retest lower zones, specifically the previous week's low around $2,174. This level, and potentially stops at $2,011, could be revisited. These are considered dangerous zones. The speaker reiterates that Bitcoin's direction will dictate the overall market. If an order block forms today and a daily FVG appears, it would signify a new resistance and a potential retest of $73,200, and if that breaks, $70,400. Beyond that, the weekly FVG becomes the key zone to watch. A breach of this weekly FVG could open the door to the March low and even a bearish scenario targeting $60,000. These are presented as possible scenarios. The speaker concludes by reminding viewers of the available resources and encourages engagement.