
Précision Sniper sur Bitcoin - Et ca Continue
AI Summary
In this video, the speaker highlights the "surgical precision" of his recent market analysis regarding Bitcoin. A few days prior, on February 19th, he predicted that Bitcoin would retest the $62,700 level based on TPO (Time Price Opportunity) charts and the behavior of dominant aggressive market actors. This prediction played out exactly as expected, hitting a double bottom at that specific price point. However, despite the accuracy of the dip, he explains that he did not open a long position. His reasoning is rooted in a disciplined trading strategy: in a bearish trend, a trader should look for bounces to enter short positions rather than trying to catch every bottom.
The analysis moves into the technicalities of the current Bitcoin range using a one-hour chart and previous weekly opens and closes. The market is currently swinging between several respected levels. He points out a specific instance where a level was broken to the downside before showing a "sign of strength" and breaking back up, though he notes this isn't yet fully confirmed by a candle close. A key tool he utilizes is the Price/Open Interest (OI) divergence. This "counter-trading" signal was visible during recent tops and suggests a potential long-term bearish trend.
Regarding the current range, which has been established over the last month, the Value Area High (VAH) is identified around $69,700, while the Value Area Low (VAL) sits near $60,700. Since 70% of the trading volume occurs within this zone, it acts as a significant center of gravity. The general rule for this range is to look for shorts when the price exits to the north and longs when it exits to the south. Recently, Bitcoin attempted to break above the VAH but was quickly rejected back to the Point of Control (POC). This POC is currently serving as a resistance level. If Bitcoin can break and hold above it, the speaker sees a potential move toward $69,000.
The speaker also explains the difference between TPO and Volume Profile. TPO measures how much time is spent at a certain price, while the Volume Profile measures the actual volume exchanged. These two metrics often show different value areas; for instance, the TPO VAH is in one zone, while the Volume VAH starts around $67,800. He identifies two major resistances: the TPO POC and the Volume VAH. He personally prefers trading breakouts, stating that if this zone is flipped into support, he would target the top of the week with a stop loss just below the current weekly VAH.
To assist traders who may find these charts complex, he mentions the Orderbook Pressure indicator. Currently, this tool shows significant buying pressure and very little selling pressure, which is a positive sign. However, he warns beginners about "ping-pong" volatility, where walls of liquidity can disappear quickly, leading to rapid price drops. He suggests a simple strategy for beginners: short when a large sell wall appears and take profits when a buying wall emerges.
The video also covers the performance of "Underground" copy-trading profiles. The Solana profile has reached a new all-time high with $450 in profit, while the Doge profile has generated $700 in less than 30 days. He notes that even the profiles that started poorly are beginning to recover, with one showing a modest $32 profit.
Finally, the speaker discusses the Open Interest Map, which he considers more important than a liquidation heatmap because it reveals where positions are being opened and closed. He admits to a mistake the previous day, where he expected a move higher to flush out short-sellers, but the market continued to range instead. This error occurred because he relied too heavily on the OI map without considering the Price/OI divergence. For Ethereum, the chart appears "cleaner," having been rejected three times from a specific zone. He identifies a resistance forming around $2,077, suggesting a conservative stop loss above the previous peak for those looking for a significant downward move. He concludes with institutional data, noting that BlackRock purchased 4,000 Bitcoin on February 25th, while Bitwise and Ark also continue to accumulate.