CHUTE DU PÉTROLE ET RECORD DES MARCHÉS ? 🚀

The speaker begins by discussing the potential for new records on indices and providing an analysis of oil, which has broken an important zone, as well as gold and the Euro-Dollar. Before diving into the analysis, the speaker reminds viewers about free access to the VIP Discord and a comprehensive mentorship program. To gain access, users must register on Prime XBT via a partner link and make a minimum deposit of $500, which serves as their trading capital. Prime XBT offers trading in forex, indices, and commodities using crypto collateral. After signing up and depositing, users can click "obtain my VIP access," enter their email and Prime XBT ID, and then activate their access to receive the Discord link. Focusing on the Nasdaq, the speaker highlights a crucial "fair value gap" zone that the market has now closed, indicating a rebalancing of an important area. While this could potentially be a top, there are no immediate signs of reversal. The expectation is for consolidation, possibly a rejection, followed by a renewed attempt to push higher. Analyzing short-term movements, the speaker notes that while the fair value gap isn't 100% filled, recent price action suggests the price may retrace part of yesterday's impulse. The lowest point from yesterday, at 2559 points, could be a target in case of a significant retracement, though it wouldn't alter the overall price dynamic. The speaker doesn't anticipate a return below this low point soon, as it initiated a liquidity sweep. However, given the market's upward trend since reopening, a return to these levels might occur in a week or two, but likely not this week. The price is expected to maintain its current level, with a potential dip tagging broken swing highs below yesterday's low to form continuation within the fair value gap. The overall movement remains bullish, though the current candle could indicate a retracement or a period of market inactivity before further upward continuation. The speaker believes the market is heading towards an all-time high (ATH), but advises caution due to potential geopolitical conflicts, referencing Trump's strategies to influence market sentiment. Moving to annual timeframes, the Nasdaq remains bullish. A re-tag of the discount or re-charging zone of the entire impulse is plausible, potentially next year or even this year. As long as the market is bullish, it is unlikely to return below the 2025 low. Therefore, any levels within the re-charging zone, specifically between 21,000 and 19,300 points, are considered attractive for long-term continuation. The speaker dismisses annual predictions of market crashes and recessions, noting that earnings continue to set records. Quarterly analysis also shows a bullish trend, with the quarterly fair value maintained, targeting the ATH. Monthly analysis reveals a strong candle, even though the month isn't over, with the market having touched the monthly fair value gap and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the previous movement, signaling continuation. This suggests a potential pullback or consolidation zone before resuming the upward trend to reclaim the February high of 26245 points and potentially a new ATH, unless geopolitical events disrupt this path. The speaker advises against long positions for swing trades at current levels, as even the ATH isn't an attractive entry point. Instead, finer price action analysis on shorter timeframes is recommended for playing bullish continuation towards future objectives. The SP500 exhibits similar patterns to the Nasdaq, having reached the same price zone, though it has already broken through it. The target for the SP500 is clearly the ATH. A pullback is not excluded, with a similar liquidity swipe indicating a potential retracement to fill inefficiencies from yesterday's movement or even a brief return to Tuesday's low. The speaker suggests waiting to observe market behavior today before making further decisions. Regarding oil, a break of the daily fair value gap zone is noted, indicating a move towards the 84 level. If this level is cleared and geopolitical conflicts resume, significant pushes towards previous highs could occur. Otherwise, the focus is on reaching 84 and potentially lower. The speaker advises against shorting at 91, suggesting shorting from premium zones for bearish continuation. The dollar index is executing its bias well, with a 50% probability of rate hikes already priced in. The dollar index has reached its peak, and the expectation is for it to retrace towards the breaker that initiated its impulse and take out the March low. While current fair value zones might trigger bounces, the overall direction is towards the March low. The speaker warns that if oil clears 84, indices clear their ATHs, and the dollar clears its March low, and then conflict resumes, significant bounces in the dollar and oil, and drops in indices, could follow. However, if geopolitical stability holds or an agreement is reached, the current market flow is encouraging for the second quarter, provided technical conditions remain unchanged. The Euro-Dollar is approaching its March high, having nearly filled all fair value gaps and now closing a "Nwog" gap, which seems to be its objective. A liquidity sweep has triggered a re-integration into the range, and the overall trend for the Euro-Dollar remains bullish. Finally, for gold, the previous weekly low was taken, leading to an expectation of a re-tag of previous highs, including the previous weekly high. Gold is currently battling with the fair value gap zone, but a close above it is noted. The next target is a higher FVG zone. The speaker advises against going long immediately, suggesting waiting for today's low to establish itself and ideally for a double low to form for a continuation pattern. The discount zone of the current impulse, which took liquidity from last week's weekly low, is also highlighted as an interesting area for potential reversals and continuation towards the next FVG. However, for those with access to COT reports, gold's flow is less directional than indices, making indices a more attractive trading option. Assuming the current bias is executed, gold could move higher, and the speaker doesn't expect it to return below the current low of 4772, making discount zones from this low interesting for continuation towards the next FVG and potentially an optimal trade entry (OTE) zone. The speaker concludes by thanking viewers and reminding those trading crypto about access to VIP crypto, COT reports, and the mentorship program through registration on Wi, available via a pinned comment.