
TA Alpha: ๐ My Top Trade Setups To Watch This Week
Audio Summary
AI Summary
The speaker reviews 21 charts, discussing market performance from the previous week and predictions for the current week, covering Bitcoin, MicroStrategy, gold, Ethereum, Solana, Circle, Tesla, Echoar (SpaceX proxy), Google, Palantir, Nvidia, Micron, Marvell, Broadcom, AAB, AMD, copper, the macro model, Trade Desk, and EOS.
Bitcoin showed a significant rebound, rising from 66K to 75K, driven by MicroStrategy's buying and the emergence of new ETFs from institutions like Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Despite some bearish flag formations, the overall trend is positive, supported by strong buying at the 63K level. The "tabby" indicator, while showing a slight upward trend, remains in the "kill zone." The speaker emphasizes that fundamental analysis, particularly money flow, dictates Bitcoin's price more than technical analysis.
MicroStrategy, a key driver for Bitcoin, bounced off its 200-week moving average, generating multiple buy signals. The speaker cautions against buying at market tops, citing examples of investors who bought MicroStrategy at $500 only to see it drop to $140. He advocates buying at bottoms and selling at tops, highlighting the ATR model's accuracy in identifying these points, with level one being a strong buy zone and level six ($542) representing a potential selling point.
Gold reached an all-time high of $5,600, with a notable bounce off level five. While the speaker doesn't actively trade gold, he notes the ATR model's effectiveness for those who do, particularly its 100% win ratio with noise suppression off.
Ethereum has also performed well, bouncing off level two, which acts as strong support around $1887. The speaker mentions optimistic predictions of Ethereum reaching $60,000, which would imply significant gains for other altcoins like Solana.
Solana, while not moving as rapidly as Bitcoin or Ethereum, is poised for future growth. The speaker identifies the $78-$80 range as a strong buy zone, noting a recent sell signal at $97 before it fell back to $84-$85.
Circle, a stablecoin play, is seen as a solid investment. It experienced a significant drop from $64 to $54 before rebounding, with clear sell signals at $130. The speaker suggests buying Circle if it falls to $61, level one on the ATR support.
Tesla demonstrated a massive move, adding $54 since the previous week, with the stock jumping from the $330s to $395. The speaker previously identified the $330-$340 range as a strong risk-reward entry point, supported by the mean reversion indicator showing the stock at its lowest mean reversion level in a year. The stock is now approaching level six at $499.
Echoar (ticker: SATS), a SpaceX proxy, hit a new all-time high of $136 but appears to be losing steam. The speaker prefers buying it in the low $100s, anticipating a potential dip before the expected IPO in mid-June.
Google provided a significant buying opportunity when it fell from $350 to $270, driven by a mean reversion deviation. Investors who bought at this bottom saw a 22.5% return in 15 days. The speaker advises against buying after such rapid gains, emphasizing patience.
Palantir is currently trading below its highs of $205 but is expected to rebound after strong upcoming earnings. It shows consistent bounces off level four at $128, while facing resistance around $158-$159. A breakout above $159-$160 could signal a return to all-time highs.
Nvidia, after trading in a range between $172 and $195 since September 2025, recently broke out to $198.87. While demand for chips is high, a developing sell signal suggests an 87.5% chance of mean reversion, requiring careful monitoring.
Micron experienced a significant mean reversion, offering a strong buy signal at its lowest point in nine months. The stock subsequently surged 44% in 15 days, a $140 move. The speaker highlights the power of leaps bought on dips, projecting Micron to exceed $1,000 within a year or two.
Marvell, another strong performer, saw a 77% increase in 40 days. Despite this impressive run, the speaker notes it appears to be running out of steam, with an 82% chance of falling from its current level of $134 based on the ATR levels and a sell signal.
Broadcom, similar to Nvidia, offered a great buy opportunity during a mean reversion dip, resulting in nearly 40% gains in 15 days. The speaker questions whether such buying opportunities will reappear soon, considering the possibility of a summer rally and a new Fed chair potentially cutting rates.
AAB, despite a market freak-out after an earnings call and CFO retirement, saw a remarkable 74% gain in 15 days. The stock, which traded under $100, has a target of $250 from conservative analysts, with an all-time high of $262.
AMD, a multi-trillion-dollar asset, has seen a 32% increase in 35 days from its buy signal, heading back towards its all-time high of $267.
Copper, after a period of stagnation, has recently moved up significantly on a buy signal. The speaker notes its bounce off the 200-day moving average at $528, suggesting it as a long-term hold rather than a short-term trade.
The macro model, a tool for trading around correlated and inversely correlated assets, is demonstrated using Chevron (an oil company) benchmarked against oil prices. The speaker explains the lag between oil price dips and Chevron's stock price, creating opportunities to short Chevron after shorting oil.
Trade Desk is presented as a "bottom-fishing" opportunity, trading at $22 after an all-time high of $141, with a recent buy signal. The CEO's purchase of shares at $25 and alleged ties to OpenAI add to its appeal.
Finally, EOS, which the speaker previously identified as "beat to death" at $4.50, surged 63% in a week, reaching as high as 69%. This AI energy storage company, despite a poor earnings call that led to a sell-off, presented a clear buy signal.