"Trump's Got Them By The THROAT" - Imperial Expert BREAKS DOWN How Hormuz Blockade ENDS The IRGC

The discussion revolves around President Trump's approach to international relations, particularly his withdrawal from numerous global organizations and his strategy with NATO and Iran. Trump withdrew from 66 international organizations, including 31 UN entities and 35 non-UN bodies, such as the World Health Organization, the UN Human Rights Council, and the Paris Climate Agreement. This policy, initiated in 2016 and 2018, was reversed by Biden, only for Trump to potentially re-implement it. The question is raised whether these withdrawals are intended to challenge organizations like NATO and prompt them to reconsider their positions, especially given their perceived indifference to US actions, such as their handling of the conflict with Iran. The speaker believes there's a good chance Trump might withdraw from NATO. He argues that European countries are "punching above their weight class" due to their embrace of green policies, which have hindered their energy production, their lack of serious militaries, and their dependence on oil from the Strait of Hormuz. Trump is seen as calling their bluff and being ready to do the same with NATO. His operating style, likened to "The Art of the Deal," involves forcing opponents to expose themselves rather than making direct pronouncements. This strategy was evident in his dealings with NATO and Britain, where their actions, or inactions, revealed their true colors without Trump having to explicitly criticize them. This approach challenges the traditional "rules-based order" that other political leaders typically adhere to. The conversation then shifts to the blockade against Iran and its economic impact. Iran is losing $400-500 million daily, or $12-15 billion monthly, due to the blockade. With storage facilities nearing capacity, Iran faces the prospect of having to stop pumping oil, which would lead to the loss of their wells and a significant economic setback. Trump is seen as leveraging this physical reality, not just diplomatic maneuvers, to pressure Iran. The speaker believes Trump "has them by the throat" and expects Iran to play for time until the last minute. The critical factor is whether the "relatively sane people" in Iran can make decisions to negotiate fundamental questions before their economy collapses. Regarding who could bail out Iran, specifically the IRGC, the speaker doubts Russia or China are eager to support the current Iranian regime. While factions within China might wish to, it's unlikely Xi Jinping would permit it. Trump's foreign policy has created different relationships with Russia and China, viewing China as a competitor and Russia not as an immutable enemy, as outlined in the US national security and defense strategies. The speaker suggests that Russia and China may no longer need to use assets like the IRGC to maintain their position on the global chessboard.