
สู่ยุค ‘ของแพงขึ้น-โตช้าลง’ IMF เตือนพิษสงคราม หลายประเทศเริ่มขอกู้เงินแล้ว | THE STANDARD WEALTH
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The global economy faces continued impact, with every sector definitely being affected. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) stated that the current situation is risky and could lead to increased prices of goods and slowed economic growth in various countries. Some nations are already borrowing more money from the IMF. The director of the IMF highlighted that the world might face higher inflation resulting from the war, with poor countries in the Middle East being most severely impacted due to global energy supply volatility.
The IMF had previously predicted global economic expansion due to post-COVID-19 recovery but recently revised this outlook, warning that the situation could expose the world to uncertainty. Poor and vulnerable countries, lacking energy resources and sufficient treasury reserves, are at increased risk of social unrest. The IMF director also mentioned that some countries are requesting financial assistance, but comprehensive energy subsidy measures are not the answer as they would further stimulate inflation.
Even if the war ends soon, its negative impact on the economy and the world will continue. For example, Qatar's production capacity needs restoration, and the International Energy Agency reports extensive damage to energy infrastructure. The IMF and World Food Program estimate millions could face severe starvation if the war prolongs. While there isn't an immediate crisis, risks will increase with supply shortages in transport and fertilizer.
A potential war in the Middle East is a major highlight for the upcoming IMF spring meeting in Washington, D.C., where an Economic Outlook report and scenario assessments will be released. This event will gather treasury ministers and central bank governors to discuss the global economy amidst the current war.